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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Nurnberg

U T S S T

0–3

Full-time

Hamburg

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 46%

44%

48%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

63%

70%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 8. · Hamburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	27	15	5	7	+10	50
2	Hamburg	27	13	10	4	+26	49
3	Kaiserslautern	27	13	7	7	+8	46
4	Paderborn	28	12	9	7	+10	45
5	Magdeburg	27	11	10	6	+12	43
6	Hannover	28	11	10	7	+7	43
7	Elversberg	27	11	8	8	+13	41
8	Nurnberg	27	12	5	10	+6	41
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	11	8	8	+3	41
10	Karlsruhe	28	11	7	10	-3	40
11	Schalke 04	27	9	7	11	-3	34
12	Greuther Furth	27	9	7	11	-11	34
13	Hertha	27	9	5	13	-3	32
14	Darmstadt	27	8	7	12	+1	31
15	Preußen Münster	27	6	9	12	-7	27
16	Braunschweig	28	6	9	13	-24	27
17	Ulm	27	4	11	12	-6	23
18	Regensburg	27	5	4	18	-39	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	14	7	7	0	+22	28
2	Hannover	14	7	6	1	+9	27
3	Kaiserslautern	14	7	5	2	+11	26
4	Nurnberg	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	FC Koln	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Karlsruhe	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Paderborn	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Elversberg	14	7	2	5	+5	23
9	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+8	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Braunschweig	14	5	4	5	-3	19
12	Greuther Furth	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-2	17
15	Preußen Münster	14	3	5	6	-2	14
16	Ulm	13	3	4	6	+0	13
17	Magdeburg	13	2	7	4	-3	13
18	Hertha	13	3	2	8	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	FC Koln	14	8	2	4	+0	26
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	4	3	+4	22
4	Paderborn	14	5	7	2	+3	22
5	Hamburg	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Hertha	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Kaiserslautern	13	6	2	5	-3	20
8	Elversberg	13	4	6	3	+8	18
9	Schalke 04	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Hannover	14	4	4	6	-2	16
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Nurnberg	14	4	3	7	-3	15
13	Greuther Furth	13	4	3	6	-7	15
14	Preußen Münster	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Darmstadt	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Ulm	14	1	7	6	-6	10
17	Braunschweig	14	1	5	8	-21	8
18	Regensburg	13	0	1	12	-32	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.