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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
24%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
62%
76%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,1
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,72 xG 0,72
36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 7. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 21 11 8 2 +18 +7.7 41
2 Schalke 04 21 12 4 5 +10 +5.5 40
3 Paderborn 21 12 3 6 +9 +10.5 39
4 Elversberg 21 11 5 5 +14 -0.2 38
5 Hannover 21 11 5 5 +10 +10.0 38
6 Hertha 21 9 7 5 +8 -3.1 34
7 Kaiserslautern 21 9 4 8 +4 -1.9 31
8 Nurnberg 22 8 5 9 -2 +1.8 29
9 Bochum 21 7 6 8 +3 +3.7 27
10 Karlsruhe 22 7 6 9 -11 -16.0 27
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -11 -2.5 25
12 Bielefeld 21 6 6 9 +3 +1.7 24
13 Holstein Kiel 21 6 6 9 -3 -10.1 24
14 Braunschweig 21 7 3 11 -12 +0.1 24
15 Magdeburg 21 7 2 12 -6 +5.1 23
16 Preußen Münster 22 5 8 9 -7 -5.8 23
17 Dresden 21 5 6 10 -7 +0.3 21
18 Greuther Furth 21 5 4 12 -20 -6.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Greuther Furth
1–0 S. Sahin
10′
Atanas Chernev 🟨
18′
Kim Ji-Soo 🔁
↦ A. Chernev
26′
45′
🟨 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Ziereis
↦ B. Bjarnason
51′
ℹ️ Paul Will
VAR: Goal cancelled
Kim Ji-Soo 🟨
53′
55′
🟨 Reno Münz
S. Asta 🔁
↦ P. Joly
66′
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
66′
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ N. Bassette
66′
70′
🟨 Paul Will
70′
🔁 A. Dardari
↦ D. Arifi
82′
🔁 K. Varela
↦ A. Keller
82′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ S. Ltaief
90′
🔁 L. Reich
↦ J. Dehm
F. Kleinhansl 🔁
↦ N. Skytta
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
16 A. Chernev D
31 L. Sirch D
14 J. Rasmussen D
26 P. Joly M
37 L. Robinson M
8 S. Sahin M
22 M. Haas M
15 N. Skytta F
7 M. Ritter F
17 N. Bassette F
Bench (8)
25 S. Simoni
13 E. Wekesser
5 Kim Ji-Soo
3 F. Kleinhansl
2 S. Asta
43 O. Gibs
11 K. Redondo
19 D. Hanslik

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
43 S. Prufrock G
25 B. Bjarnason D
15 J. Elvedi D
5 R. Munz D
23 J. Dehm M
28 D. Arifi M
13 P. Will M
16 A. Keller M
10 B. Hrgota F
9 N. Futkeu F
47 S. Ltaief F
Bench (9)
26 P. Boevink
2 L. Reich
4 P. Ziereis
33 M. Dietz
38 R. Marita
44 M. Avlayici
45 K. Varela
7 D. Srbeny
11 A. Dardari

Coach: Heiko Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,02
B
4,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.