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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Metz

S S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

0,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

21 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 8. · Valenciennes 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Caen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Paris FC	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Dijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Metz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Laval	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Niort	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Annecy	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Laval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paris FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Nimes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sochaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.