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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Valenciennes
T U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 6. · Amiens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 16 10 5 1 +19 35
2 Bordeaux 16 8 4 4 +10 28
3 Sochaux 15 8 3 4 +12 27
4 Grenoble 15 7 5 3 +4 26
5 Caen 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Valenciennes 15 6 5 4 +1 23
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 -1 23
8 Metz 15 6 3 6 +3 21
9 Pau FC 15 5 6 4 -3 21
10 Laval 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Guingamp 15 5 5 5 +0 20
12 Paris FC 15 5 5 5 -2 20
13 Annecy 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Quevilly Rouen 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Bastia 15 5 3 7 -6 18
16 Nimes 15 4 3 8 -5 15
17 Dijon 15 3 6 6 -5 15
18 Rodez 15 3 6 6 -6 15
19 St Etienne 16 3 5 8 -7 14
20 Niort 15 3 3 9 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Amiens
16′
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
1–0 M. Picouleau
A. Boutoutaou
22′
23′
G. Kakuta 1–1
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Gaël Kakuta
61′
🔁 A. Léautey
↦ F. Mendy
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ L. Nomel
66′
70′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ T. Arokodare
A. Zinga 🔁
↦ A. Boutoutaou
75′
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ M. Picouleau
75′
J. Cuffaut 🔁
↦ A. Linguet
83′
N. Innocenti 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
84′
84′
🔁 J. Bénet
↦ J. Gélin
84′
🔁 S. Ring
↦ M. Xantippe
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-2-3-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
24 A. Linguet D
26 M. Debuchy D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
8 N. Diliberto M
21 M. Kaba M
18 L. Nomel M
27 M. Picouleau M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
9 M. Noubissi F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hamache
15 A. Zinga
11 U. Bonnet
14 J. Cuffaut
19 N. Innocenti
16 H. Konaté
37 M. Rabuel

Coach: N. Rabuel

Amiens

3-1-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
24 J. Gélin M
15 Y. Assogba M
29 I. Gomis M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
26 M. Xantippe M
9 T. Arokodare F
96 G. Kakuta F
Bench (7)
7 A. Léautey
18 P. Cissé
21 J. Bénet
3 S. Ring
16 P. Charruau
11 H. Bandé
10 A. Chibozo

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U ✓
2,95
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.