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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
0–2
Full-time
Caen
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
0,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Concarneau 15. · Caen 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Auxerre 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ajaccio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Laval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Bordeaux 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Angers 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Concarneau 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Annecy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Valenciennes 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Concarneau Caen
Half-time 0–1
54′
Alexandre Mendy 0–1
Baptiste Mouazan 🟨
60′
I. Matondo 🔁
↦ A. Urie
64′
64′
🔁 A. Coeff
↦ Y. Court
65′
🟨 Bilal Brahimi
C. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ A. Gboho
72′
78′
🔁 H. Vandermersch
↦ M. Autret
85′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ B. Brahimi
92′
A. Abdi 0–2
V. Henry
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
5 M. Sylla Diallo D
28 I. Paro D
23 R. Sans D
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
21 N. Chadli M
20 B. Mouazan M
11 A. Urie M
24 A. Gboho F
Bench (7)
7 I. Matondo
22 C. Rodrigues
26 T. Sinquin
8 T. Lebeau
3 A. Wahib
29 P. Jouan
1 M. Pattier

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
23 M. Autret M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
92 A. Coeff
24 H. Vandermersch
17 G. Kyeremeh
16 Y. Clémentia
3 D. Bolumbu
20 N. Lebreton
7 T. Gomis

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
3,28
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.