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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Valenciennes
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Troyes
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
11%
11%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
22%
67%
Average goals
1,6
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 19. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Grenoble 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Auxerre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Angers 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 St Etienne 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 +6 14
7 Rodez 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Pau FC 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Amiens 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Caen 9 4 1 4 +5 13
11 Ajaccio 9 3 4 2 -2 13
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 9 2 5 2 -1 11
14 Bastia 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Concarneau 9 2 2 5 -7 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 9 2 1 6 -4 7
18 Dunkerque 9 1 3 5 -7 6
19 Valenciennes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Troyes
12′
J. Assoumou 0–1
K. Dong
Allan Linguet 🟨
32′
33′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
Half-time 0–1
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
46′
47′
🟨 Xavier Chavalerin
Julien Masson 🟨
48′
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga 🟨
51′
68′
🔁 R. Saïd
↦ Y. MChangama
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ D. Kruse
74′
M. Lilepo 🔁
↦ A. Knockaert
75′
79′
🔁 R. Kohon
↦ M. Tahrat
84′
🔁 A. Lefebvre
↦ J. Assoumou
84′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ L. Ilić
1–1 A. Boutoutaou
92′
J. Cuffaut 🔁
↦ A. Boutoutaou
94′
95′
🟨 Mouhamed Diop
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-1-4-1
16 J. Louchet G
24 A. Linguet D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
4 T. Moore D
15 L. Woudenberg D
6 J. Masson M
93 A. Knockaert M
23 D. Kruse M
28 Bruno Costa M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
10 N. Venema F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hamache
11 U. Bonnet
34 M. Lilepo
14 J. Cuffaut
5 J. Poha
30 L. Diabate
7 S. Boudraa

Coach: A. Kantari

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
18 T. Baldé D
5 M. Tahrat D
22 T. Zoukrou D
8 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
10 Y. M'Changama M
21 L. Ilić M
24 X. Chavalerin M
27 K. Dong M
40 J. Assoumou F
Bench (7)
11 R. Saïd
33 R. Kohon
34 A. Lefebvre
28 M. Diop
12 Abdu Conté
16 N. Lemaître
23 J. Olaïtan

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,16
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.