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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

St Pauli

U U S S S

5–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 3. · Nurnberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Kaiserslautern	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+8	16
4	Hannover	9	4	3	2	+9	15
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Holstein Kiel	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Magdeburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	-1	12
10	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-3	12
11	Paderborn	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Elversberg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Hertha	8	3	0	5	+1	9
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Wehen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Braunschweig	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Greuther Furth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+8	7
10	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
12	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Holstein Kiel	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Osnabruck	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Elversberg	4	1	1	2	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
5	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Magdeburg	5	1	2	2	+0	5
7	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
12	Wehen	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Osnabruck	4	0	2	2	-8	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.