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Premier League
Referee: S Barrott
Fulham
T S U S T
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 0,57
60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 13. · Sheffield United 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tottenham 8 6 2 0 +10 +4.0 20
2 Man City 7 6 0 1 +12 +9.7 18
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 +9 +8.7 17
4 Liverpool 7 5 1 1 +9 +5.3 16
5 Aston Villa 7 5 0 2 +7 +2.5 15
6 Brighton 7 5 0 2 +5 +2.5 15
7 West Ham 7 4 1 2 +3 -3.2 13
8 Newcastle 7 4 0 3 +11 +8.3 12
9 Crystal Palace 7 3 2 2 +0 -1.6 11
10 Man United 7 3 0 4 -4 +0.0 9
11 Chelsea 7 2 2 3 +1 +5.8 8
12 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 -2 -3.3 8
13 Fulham 7 2 2 3 -7 -8.6 8
14 Brentford 7 1 4 2 +0 +4.8 7
15 Wolves 7 2 1 4 -5 -5.0 7
16 Everton 7 1 1 5 -6 +2.7 4
17 Luton 8 1 1 6 -9 -5.2 4
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 -10 -7.4 4
19 Bournemouth 7 0 3 4 -10 -8.0 3
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 -14 -12.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Sheffield United
35′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ C. Basham
Half-time 0–0
João Palhinha 🟨
50′
1–0 B. De Cordova-Reid
Andreas Pereira
53′
66′
🔁 J. McAtee
↦ G. Hamer
66′
🔁 Y. Larouci
↦ L. Thomas
68′
A. Robinson 2–0
own goal
T. Cairney 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
71′
C. Bassey 🔁
↦ I. Diop
71′
73′
🟨 Oliver McBurnie
2–1 W. Foderingham
own goal
76′
H. Wilson 🔁
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
78′
Rodrigo Muniz 🔁
↦ Carlos Vinícius
78′
H. Reed 🔁
↦ A. Iwobi
79′
79′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ C. Archer
91′
🟨 Oliver Norwood
3–1 Willian
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fulham

4-3-3
17 B. Leno G
21 T. Castagne D
31 I. Diop D
13 T. Ream D
33 A. Robinson D
22 A. Iwobi M
26 João Palhinha M
18 Andreas Pereira M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid F
30 Carlos Vinícius F
20 Willian F
Bench (9)
10 T. Cairney
3 C. Bassey
8 H. Wilson
19 Rodrigo Muniz
6 H. Reed
28 S. Lukić
12 F. Ballo-Touré
1 M. Rodák
7 R. Jiménez

Coach: Marco Silva

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
6 C. Basham D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
5 A. Trusty D
20 J. Bogle M
21 Vinicius Souza M
16 O. Norwood M
8 G. Hamer M
14 L. Thomas M
9 O. McBurnie F
10 C. Archer F
Bench (9)
19 J. Robinson
28 J. McAtee
27 Y. Larouci
7 R. Brewster
4 J. Fleck
38 F. Seriki
25 A. Ben Slimane
11 B. Traoré
1 A. Davies

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,96
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.