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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Rodez
U T U S T
2–0
Full-time
Concarneau
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 9. · Concarneau 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 +1 25
6 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
7 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
8 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Concarneau
7′
🟨 Esteban Salles
1–0 B. Danger
T. Arconte
15′
Half-time 1–0
Bradley Danger 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Nassim Chadli
59′
🔁 C. Rodrigues
↦ P. Bâ
59′
🔁 Y. Merdji
↦ N. Ndombasi
2–0 A. Hountondji
G. Haag
62′
63′
🔁 T. Lebeau
↦ G. Barès
65′
🟨 Tom Lebeau
Giovanni Haag 🟨
70′
A. Valério 🔁
↦ G. Haag
72′
K. Corredor 🔁
↦ A. Hountondji
77′
W. Taïbi 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
77′
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
82′
A. Ngouyamsa 🔁
↦ B. Danger
82′
90′
🔁 A. Wahib
↦ A. Georgen
90′
🔁 A. Urié
↦ N. Chadli
96′
🟨 Yanis Merdji
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
19 L. Buadés D
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
28 A. Abdallah D
7 W. Younoussa M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
22 T. Arconte F
17 A. Hountondji F
Bench (7)
18 A. Valério
12 K. Corredor
10 W. Taïbi
25 C. Dépres
6 A. Ngouyamsa
3 R. Lipinski
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Concarneau

4-2-2-2
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
2 A. Georgen D
15 G. Barès M
17 M. Etuin M
21 N. Chadli M
20 B. Mouazan M
9 N. Ndombasi F
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
22 C. Rodrigues
18 Y. Merdji
8 T. Lebeau
3 A. Wahib
11 A. Urié
1 M. Pattier
28 I. Paro

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,57
B
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.