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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Bochum
T U S U U
3–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
8%
42%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,50 xG 1,29
43% Possession 57%
19 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 14. · Wolfsburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 12 11 1 0 +27 +12.8 34
2 Bayern Munich 12 10 2 0 +34 +27.9 32
3 Stuttgart 12 9 0 3 +16 +17.2 27
4 Dortmund 12 7 3 2 +6 +3.0 24
5 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 +17 +7.3 23
6 Hoffenheim 12 6 2 4 +3 -1.2 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 4 6 2 +5 +0.4 18
8 Wolfsburg 12 5 1 6 -4 -2.4 16
9 Freiburg 12 4 3 5 -8 -0.2 15
10 Augsburg 12 3 5 4 -3 +0.3 14
11 M'gladbach 12 3 4 5 -2 -2.4 13
12 Werder Bremen 12 3 2 7 -7 -5.4 11
13 Heidenheim 12 3 2 7 -9 -12.9 11
14 Bochum 12 1 7 4 -14 -7.3 10
15 FC Koln 13 2 3 8 -14 -14.0 9
16 Darmstadt 13 2 3 8 -19 -14.0 9
17 Mainz 12 1 5 6 -13 -5.0 8
18 Union Berlin 12 2 1 9 -15 -4.0 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Wolfsburg
1–0 P. Osterhage
A. Losilla
19′
21′
🟨 Aster Vranckx
Matúš Bero 🟨
36′
2–0 Bernardo
K. Stöger
39′
Half-time 2–1
46′
M. Svanberg 2–1
J. Wind
Kevin Stöger 🟨
47′
53′
🟨 Moritz Jenz
M. Broschinski 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
59′
M. Wittek 🔁
↦ K. Stöger
60′
Takuma Asano 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ L. Majer
63′
🔁 J. Mæhle
↦ R. Baku
66′
ℹ️ Mattias Svanberg
VAR: Penalty cancelled
M. Kwarteng 🔁
↦ T. Asano
72′
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ M. Bero
72′
76′
🔁 K. Paredes
↦ V. Černý
76′
🔁 Tiago Tomás
↦ Rogério
Cristian Gamboa 🟨
81′
T. Oermann 🔁
↦ C. Gamboa
81′
Maximilian Wittek 🟨
86′
3–1 C. Antwi-Adjei
M. Kwarteng
87′
Keven Schlotterbeck 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
4 E. Mašović D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
5 Bernardo D
6 P. Osterhage M
8 A. Losilla M
19 M. Bero M
7 K. Stöger M
11 T. Asano M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
29 M. Broschinski
32 M. Wittek
27 M. Kwarteng
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
14 T. Oermann
15 F. Passlack
23 N. Thiede
9 Gonçalo Paciência
13 L. Daschner

Coach: T. Letsch

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
4 M. Lacroix D
25 M. Jenz D
5 C. Zesiger D
20 R. Baku M
32 M. Svanberg M
6 A. Vranckx M
13 Rogério M
7 V. Černý F
19 L. Majer F
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
31 Y. Gerhardt
21 J. Mæhle
40 K. Paredes
11 Tiago Tomás
12 P. Pervan
2 K. Fischer
16 J. Kamiński
8 N. Cozza
41 K. Amoako

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,66
U
3,65
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.