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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Swansea
S U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,44 xG 0,30
78% Possession 22%
22 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
19 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 18. · Huddersfield 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 +22 +14.3 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 3 2 +15 +9.9 42
3 West Brom 18 9 5 4 +12 +3.2 32
4 Leeds 17 9 5 3 +12 +13.4 32
5 Southampton 17 9 4 4 +1 +5.4 31
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 +6 +3.9 30
7 Blackburn 18 9 1 8 +3 +1.6 28
8 Preston 19 8 4 7 -8 -7.7 28
9 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 +6 -2.2 27
10 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 +3 +11.9 27
11 Sunderland 18 8 2 8 +7 +11.1 26
12 Bristol City 18 7 4 7 +0 +1.1 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 +4 +3.8 24
14 Norwich 17 7 2 8 -2 -2.6 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 +2 +6.8 22
16 Birmingham 18 6 4 8 -4 -1.8 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 -7 -4.4 21
18 Swansea 18 5 5 8 -1 -6.8 20
19 Millwall 18 5 5 8 -5 -7.3 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 +1 -8.9 19
21 Huddersfield 18 4 7 7 -13 -9.6 19
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 -13 -8.7 16
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 -20 -21.7 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 -21 -4.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Huddersfield
3′
B. Cabango 1–0
own goal
Liam Walsh 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
H. Darling 🔁
↦ K. Naughton
46′
J. Yates 🔁
↦ B. Humphreys
46′
Y. Bolasie 🔁
↦ L. Cullen
46′
61′
🔁 R. Edmonds-Green
↦ B. Jackson
67′
🔁 D. Burgzorg
↦ J. Headley
67′
🔁 J. Koroma
↦ D. Ward
C. Patino 🔁
↦ L. Walsh
72′
J. Key 🔁
↦ J. Fulton
76′
86′
🟨 Sorba Thomas
2–0 C. Patino
J. Paterson
94′
97′
🟨 David Kasumu
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-2-1
22 C. Rushworth G
26 K. Naughton D
5 B. Cabango D
33 B. Humphreys D
14 J. Tymon D
4 J. Fulton M
28 L. Walsh M
8 M. Grimes M
20 L. Cullen M
12 J. Paterson M
10 J. Lowe F
Bench (9)
6 H. Darling
9 J. Yates
17 Y. Bolasie
18 C. Patino
2 J. Key
1 A. Fisher
45 C. Congreve
21 N. Tjoe-A-On
31 O. Cooper

Coach: M. Duff

Huddersfield

5-4-1
12 C. Maxwell G
30 B. Jackson D
4 M. Pearson D
5 M. Helik D
32 T. Lees D
33 Y. Nakayama D
14 S. Thomas M
6 J. Hogg M
18 D. Kasumu M
15 J. Headley M
25 D. Ward F
Bench (9)
2 R. Edmonds-Green
7 D. Burgzorg
10 J. Koroma
31 J. Chapman
16 T. Edwards
11 B. Diarra
39 T. Iorpenda
36 J. Austerfield
37 L. Ayina

Coach: D. Moore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,58
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.