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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Amiens
U S T S U
1–0
Full-time
St Etienne
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 10. · St Etienne 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 +1 25
6 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
7 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
8 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens St Etienne
Owen Gene 🟨
24′
26′
🟨 Dylan Chambost
1–0 A. Léautey
J. Gélin
45′
Half-time 1–0
Kylian Kaiboue 🟨
60′
Mamadou Fofana 🟨
62′
65′
🔁 G. Charbonnier
↦ D. Chambost
A. Carroll 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
74′
77′
🔁 K. Cissé
↦ B. Bouchouari
F. Boya 🔁
↦ K. Kaïboué
78′
84′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ F. Tardieu
84′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ L. Pétrot
Y. Assogba 🔁
↦ A. Tapsoba
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-3-3
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
3 S. Ring D
25 O. Géne M
20 K. Kaïboué M
24 J. Gélin M
10 G. Kakuta F
8 A. Tapsoba F
7 A. Léautey F
Bench (7)
99 A. Carroll
29 F. Boya
15 Y. Assogba
11 M. Do Couto
5 O. Urhoghide
18 A. Ciss
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

St Etienne

4-5-1
42 E. Green G
8 D. Appiah D
21 D. Batubinsika D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
18 M. Cafaro M
29 A. Moueffek M
5 F. Tardieu M
6 B. Bouchouari M
14 D. Chambost M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
10 G. Charbonnier
32 K. Cissé
20 M. Rivera
26 L. Fomba
3 M. Nadé
22 V. Lobry
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,70
U
3,21
B
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.