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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Bordeaux
U T S U S
0–1
Full-time
Troyes
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
24 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 12. · Troyes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 15 10 2 3 +8 32
2 Angers 15 9 3 3 +12 30
3 Grenoble 15 7 6 2 +5 27
4 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 +14 26
5 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 +1 25
6 Guingamp 15 6 6 3 +8 24
7 St Etienne 15 7 3 5 +2 24
8 Ajaccio 15 6 5 4 +1 23
9 Rodez 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Amiens 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Concarneau 15 5 4 6 -3 19
12 Bordeaux 15 5 4 6 -5 19
13 Annecy 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Paris FC 15 5 2 8 -3 17
15 Bastia 15 4 5 6 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 4 7 -1 16
17 Troyes 15 2 7 6 -3 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 15 2 6 7 -4 12
19 Dunkerque 15 3 3 9 -11 12
20 Valenciennes 15 1 7 7 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Troyes
18′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
34′
A. Lefebvre 0–1
M. Diop
Clément Michelin 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Abdoulaye Ndiaye
51′
🟨 Xavier Chavalerin
57′
🟨 Mouhamed Diop
I. Sissokho 🔁
↦ D. Ignatenko
63′
A. Elis 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
63′
M. De Lima 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
63′
Jacques Ekomie 🟥
64′
M. Bokele 🔁
↦ G. Weissbeck
68′
68′
🔁 J. Olaïtan
↦ A. Lefebvre
Issouf Sissokho 🟨
71′
V. N'Simba 🔁
↦ C. Michelin
78′
78′
🔁 D. Mazou-Sacko
↦ Y. MChangama
Yoann Barbet 🟨
88′
94′
🔁 N. Cervantes
↦ J. Olaïtan
96′
🟨 Noa Cervantes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-1-4-2
13 R. Strączek G
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
19 J. Ekomié D
6 D. Ignatenko M
34 C. Michelin M
20 Pedro Díaz M
10 G. Weissbeck M
7 J. Livolant M
9 Z. Vipotnik F
30 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
8 I. Sissokho
17 A. Elis
81 M. De Lima
4 M. Bokele
14 V. N'Simba
97 D. Rouyard
11 A. Pitu

Coach: Riera

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
8 I. Boura D
5 M. Tahrat D
3 A. N'Diaye D
12 Abdu Conté D
28 M. Diop M
24 X. Chavalerin M
34 A. Lefebvre M
10 Y. M'Changama M
27 K. Dong M
11 R. Saïd F
Bench (7)
23 J. Olaïtan
39 D. Mazou-Sacko
26 N. Cervantes
32 M. Hamdi
16 N. Lemaître
33 R. Kohon
31 D. Dongmo

Coach: A. Diarra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,43
U
4,58
B ✓
6,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.