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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Bastia
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Grenoble
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
46%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 15. · Grenoble 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 26 14 9 3 +25 51
2 Angers 26 14 4 8 +10 46
3 Laval 26 12 8 6 +5 44
4 St Etienne 27 12 6 9 +8 42
5 Grenoble 26 10 10 6 +8 40
6 Caen 26 11 6 9 +3 39
7 Rodez 26 10 8 8 +5 38
8 Ajaccio 26 10 8 8 +1 38
9 Pau FC 26 9 10 7 +0 37
10 Amiens 26 9 10 7 -3 37
11 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
12 Bordeaux 26 10 6 10 -3 36
13 Guingamp 26 9 8 9 +2 35
14 Concarneau 26 9 5 12 -7 32
15 Bastia 26 8 7 11 -3 31
16 Troyes 26 7 9 10 -5 30
17 Dunkerque 26 8 6 12 -13 30
18 Quevilly Rouen 26 5 10 11 -3 25
19 Annecy 26 5 8 13 -11 23
20 Valenciennes 26 2 9 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Grenoble
Jocelyn Janneh 🟨
6′
1–0 Dylan Tavares
M. Alfarela
36′
Half-time 1–0
T. Meynadier 🔁
↦ F. Bohnert
46′
Tom Ducrocq 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 A. Sbaï
↦ N. Mbemba
Benjamin Santelli 🟨
66′
M. Siby 🔁
↦ J. Janneh
71′
F. Conté 🔁
↦ G. Charbonnier
72′
76′
🔁 N. Thio
↦ D. Rigo
C. Keita 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
83′
83′
🔁 M. Xantippe
↦ G. Paquiez
83′
🔁 V. Postolachi
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
84′
🟨 Adrien Monfray
M. Souboul 🔁
↦ Dylan Tavares
90′
Facinet Conte 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bastia

3-4-1-2
30 J. Placide G
4 A. Roncaglia D
5 I. Dramé D
99 Y. Okou D
15 F. Bohnert M
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
42 Dylan Tavares M
10 M. Alfarela F
14 G. Charbonnier F
9 B. Santelli F
Bench (7)
24 T. Meynadier
26 M. Siby
31 F. Conté
95 C. Keita
21 M. Souboul
18 F. Tomi
23 J. Fabri

Coach: L. Laslandes

Grenoble

4-2-3-1
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diarra D
29 G. Paquiez D
31 N. Mbemba M
6 D. Rigo M
10 E. Sylvestre M
25 T. Valls M
19 L. Joseph M
7 P. Meïssa Ba F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sbaï
22 N. Thio
27 M. Xantippe
17 V. Postolachi
16 B. Allain
70 S. Touray
14 L. Nestor

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,06
B
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.