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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Guingamp
U T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Troyes
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 13. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 26 14 9 3 +25 51
2 Angers 26 14 4 8 +10 46
3 Laval 26 12 8 6 +5 44
4 St Etienne 27 12 6 9 +8 42
5 Grenoble 26 10 10 6 +8 40
6 Caen 26 11 6 9 +3 39
7 Rodez 26 10 8 8 +5 38
8 Ajaccio 26 10 8 8 +1 38
9 Pau FC 26 9 10 7 +0 37
10 Amiens 26 9 10 7 -3 37
11 Paris FC 27 9 9 9 +1 36
12 Bordeaux 26 10 6 10 -3 36
13 Guingamp 26 9 8 9 +2 35
14 Concarneau 26 9 5 12 -7 32
15 Bastia 26 8 7 11 -3 31
16 Troyes 26 7 9 10 -5 30
17 Dunkerque 26 8 6 12 -13 30
18 Quevilly Rouen 26 5 10 11 -3 25
19 Annecy 26 5 8 13 -11 23
20 Valenciennes 26 2 9 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Troyes
44′
🟨 Rafiki Saïd
Half-time 0–0
Amine El Ouazzani 🟨
48′
Maxime Sivis 🟨
58′
66′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ M. Bangré
66′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ Y. MChangama
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ H. Picard
70′
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
76′
79′
🟨 Mehdi Tahrat
83′
🔁 Abdu Conté
↦ S. Elisor
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
85′
90′
🔁 R. Kohon
↦ R. Saïd
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
31 L. Maronnier D
22 V. Lobry M
4 D. Louiserre M
9 A. El Ouazzani M
10 M. Merghem M
20 H. Picard M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sagna
29 U. Bonnet
17 J. Siwe
2 B. Roux
30 B. Niasse
23 T. Luvambo
15 V. Manceau

Coach: S. Dumont

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
22 T. Zoukrou D
5 M. Tahrat D
3 A. N'Diaye D
8 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
24 X. Chavalerin M
7 M. Bangré M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
28 M. Diop
20 R. Ripart
12 Abdu Conté
36 R. Kohon
15 A. Palaversa
23 J. Olaïtan
30 Z. Boucher

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U ✓
3,50
B
4,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.