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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Pau FC
S U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Paris FC
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 13. · Paris FC 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 12 8 2 2 +11 26
2 Dunkerque 13 8 1 4 +4 25
3 Lorient 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Annecy 13 6 4 3 +3 22
5 Metz 12 6 3 3 +8 21
6 Amiens 13 6 2 5 +2 20
7 Guingamp 12 6 1 5 +4 19
8 Grenoble 13 5 2 6 +2 17
9 Laval 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Bastia 12 3 7 2 +0 16
11 Rodez 13 4 3 6 +2 15
12 Clermont 13 4 3 6 -3 15
13 Pau FC 12 4 3 5 -4 15
14 Caen 12 4 2 6 -2 14
15 Ajaccio 12 4 2 6 -3 14
16 Troyes 13 4 2 7 -6 14
17 Red Star 13 4 2 7 -11 14
18 Martigues 13 2 3 8 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Paris FC
44′
🟨 Lohann Doucet
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Vincent Marchetti
62′
🔁 J. Gaudin
↦ T. Ollila
62′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ L. Doucet
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ K. Diawara
64′
Iyad Mohamed 🟨
65′
S. Beusnard 🔁
↦ A. Mille
72′
O. Ngom 🔁
↦ A. Bobichon
80′
87′
🔁 O. Sissoko
↦ A. Gory
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-1-3-2
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
19 O. Kanté D
22 A. Ahoussou D
12 Jordy Gaspar D
8 I. Mohamed M
18 K. Diawara M
14 A. Bobichon M
9 P. Mboup M
17 A. Mille F
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
7 T. Arconte
21 S. Beusnard
6 O. Ngom
4 X. Kouassi
27 K. Gasnier
26 J. Evan's
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Paris FC

4-1-3-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
2 T. Ollila D
4 V. Marchetti M
10 I. Kebbal M
8 L. Doucet M
17 A. Camara M
11 J. Krasso F
7 A. Gory F
Bench (7)
27 J. Gaudin
12 N. Dicko
18 O. Sissoko
25 Y. Koré
1 R. Riou
19 M. Kanté
6 A. Soumahoro

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U ✓
3,40
B
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.