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Serie B
Spal
T S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Monza
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,5
Scored
2,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

18 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 8
20 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 10. · Monza 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Cittadella 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Pisa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Ascoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Parma 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Reggina 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Monza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Benevento 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Spal 2 1 0 1 +4 3
11 Cremonese 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Perugia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Como 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Lecce 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Crotone 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Alessandria 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Ternana 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Vicenza 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Cosenza 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Pordenone 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
2,93
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.