Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Chelsea

S T S S U

3–0

Full-time

Aston Villa

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Chelsea Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 7. · Aston Villa 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Man City	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Brighton	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Tottenham	4	3	0	1	+0	9
5	West Ham	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Everton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Leicester	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Brentford	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Wolves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Southampton	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Watford	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Arsenal	4	1	0	3	-8	3
17	Leeds	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Newcastle	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Norwich	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Brentford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Watford	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Man United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Man City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Brentford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Watford	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.