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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Bournemouth

U S S U U

3–0

Full-time

Barnsley

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 2

8 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 9. · Barnsley 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Fulham	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	QPR	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Birmingham	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Huddersfield	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Luton	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Stoke	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Cardiff	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Bournemouth	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Coventry	5	3	0	2	+0	9
11	Preston	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Blackburn	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Middlesbrough	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Barnsley	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Derby	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Sheffield United	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Millwall	5	1	2	2	-2	5
19	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Peterborough	5	1	1	3	-4	4
21	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-4	4
22	Peterboro	6	1	1	4	-8	4
23	Reading	5	1	0	4	-6	3
24	Blackpool	5	0	2	3	-4	2
25	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	QPR	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Peterborough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
20	Bournemouth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Hull	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
25	Blackpool	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	QPR	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Blackburn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Hull	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Derby	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Barnsley	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Blackpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Peterborough	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Reading	3	0	0	3	-6	0
25	Peterboro	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.