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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
0–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
3,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 16. · Wolfsburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Leverkusen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
3 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Freiburg 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 FC Koln 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Union Berlin 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +3 4
10 RB Leipzig 3 1 0 2 +2 3
11 Bochum 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Bielefeld 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 M'gladbach 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Greuther Furth 3 0 1 2 -7 1
17 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 Hertha 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Wolfsburg
10′
L. Nmecha 0–1
W. Weghorst
14′
🟨 Wout Weghorst
30′
🟨 Ridle Baku
Paul Seguin 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
M. Christiansen 🔁
↦ J. Green
60′
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
67′
67′
🔁 K. Mbabu
↦ R. Baku
A. Barry 🔁
↦ J. Willems
68′
68′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ M. Philipp
73′
🔁 J. Brooks
↦ M. Lacroix
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
79′
80′
🟨 Dodi Lukebakio
81′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ L. Nmecha
Sebastian Griesbeck 🟨
90′
91′
W. Weghorst 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-4-2
30 S. Burchert G
24 N. Viergever D
15 J. Willems D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
4 M. Bauer D
22 S. Griesbeck M
33 P. Seguin M
37 J. Green M
16 H. Nielsen M
10 B. Hrgota F
19 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
13 M. Christiansen
11 D. Abiama
32 A. Barry
40 J. Leweling
1 M. Funk
28 J. Dudziak
6 A. Fein
14 H. Sarpei
21 T. Tillman

Coach: S. Leitl

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
17 M. Philipp M
31 Y. Gerhardt D
9 W. Weghorst F
7 L. Waldschmidt M
10 L. Nmecha M
Bench (9)
19 K. Mbabu
28 D. Lukébakio
25 J. Brooks
11 R. Steffen
33 D. Ginczek
12 P. Pervan
15 J. Roussillon
14 A. Mehmedi
8 A. Vranckx

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,52
U
4,29
B ✓
1,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.