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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

AZ Alkmaar

S S U S T

0–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

4,7

Scored

0,0

3,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

7 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+12	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Cambuur	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Waalwijk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-7	3
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
8	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.