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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Cittadella
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Frosinone
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 12. · Frosinone 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Frosinone 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Brescia 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Ascoli 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Benevento 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Cosenza 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Bari 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Parma 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Spal 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Venezia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Ternana 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
17 Sudtirol 4 1 0 3 -6 3
18 Como 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Pisa 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Perugia 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Frosinone
13′
ℹ️ Giuseppe Caso
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Mamadou Tounkara 🟨
23′
45′
🟨 Giuseppe Caso
Half-time 0–0
G. Beretta 🔁
↦ Mamadou Tounkara
46′
Simone Branca 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 M. Bočić
↦ A. Oliveri
66′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ L. Garritano
66′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ G. Caso
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ G. Carriero
67′
A. Vita 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
67′
72′
🔁 L. Moro
↦ S. Mulattieri
72′
🔁 I. Monterisi
↦ M. Sampirisi
I. Lores 🔁
↦ S. Branca
76′
G. Felicioli 🔁
↦ D. Donnarumma
80′
Gian Filippo Felicioli 🟨
83′
91′
🟨 Daniel Boloca
1–0 G. Beretta
A. Magrassi
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
84 T. Cassandro D
6 S. Visentin D
15 D. Frare D
17 D. Donnarumma D
20 G. Carriero M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
92 E. Baldini F
9 Mamadou Tounkara F
Bench (12)
11 G. Beretta
99 A. Magrassi
16 A. Vita
30 I. Lores
3 G. Felicioli
7 Carlos Embaló
18 A. Mattioli
8 D. Mazzocco
2 R. Perticone
77 L. Maniero
1 F. Manfrin
19 V. Ciriello

Coach: E. Gorini

Frosinone

4-2-3-1
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
25 P. Szymiński D
29 M. Cotali D
11 D. Boloca M
8 K. Lulić M
41 A. Oliveri M
10 G. Caso M
16 L. Garritano M
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (11)
19 M. Bočić
21 R. Ciervo
94 R. Insigne
24 L. Moro
30 I. Monterisi
1 L. Loria
20 L. Ravanelli
23 S. Kalaj
90 G. Borrelli
36 L. Mazzitelli
99 G. Frabotta

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
3,11
B
2,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.