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Serie B
Referee: M Serra
Venezia
U T T U S
3–2
Full-time
Como
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
43%
30%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 16. · Como 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 30 19 5 6 +29 62
2 Genoa 31 17 9 5 +21 60
3 Sudtirol 30 13 12 5 +6 51
4 Bari 30 13 11 6 +17 50
5 Pisa 30 11 12 7 +13 45
6 Cagliari 30 11 12 7 +9 45
7 Reggina 30 13 3 14 +3 42
8 Palermo 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Parma 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Como 30 9 12 9 -1 39
11 Ternana 30 10 9 11 -7 39
12 Modena 30 11 5 14 -2 38
13 Ascoli 30 9 9 12 -6 36
14 Cittadella 30 8 11 11 -11 35
15 Perugia 29 9 6 14 -2 33
16 Venezia 30 8 9 13 -8 33
17 Cosenza 30 8 8 14 -22 32
18 Benevento 30 6 11 13 -10 29
19 Spal 30 6 10 14 -11 28
20 Brescia 30 6 10 14 -21 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -22 Como – Venezia 1–0

Match report

Venezia Como
8′
L. da Cunha 0–1
1–1 A. Candela
A. Carboni
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Milanese
D. Johnsen
48′
3–1 J. Pohjanpalo
D. Johnsen
50′
55′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ L. Binks
55′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ A. Cerri
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
63′
72′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ P. Faragò
72′
🔁 Álex Blanco
↦ P. Cutrone
72′
🔁 J. Da Riva
↦ L. Vignali
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
73′
Andrija Novakovich 🟨
77′
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ T. Milanese
79′
90′
A. Gabrielloni 3–2
L. da Cunha
94′
🟨 Alessandro Bellemo
94′
🟨 Filippo Scaglia
95′
🟨 Filippo Scaglia
95′
🟥 Filippo Scaglia
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
30 M. Svoboda D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Candela M
62 T. Milanese M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (10)
21 D. Cheryshev
11 A. Novakovich
25 N. Pierini
12 Bruno
13 M. Modolo
22 K. Jónsson
19 R. Ciervo
24 F. Neri
33 M. Šverko
9 D. Redan

Coach: P. Vanoli

Como

3-4-1-2
32 A. Gomis G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
28 L. Vignali M
8 P. Faragò M
14 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
33 L. da Cunha F
27 A. Cerri F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
11 V. Parigini
77 L. Mancuso
9 A. Gabrielloni
19 Álex Blanco
5 J. Da Riva
99 M. Vigorito
3 A. Cagnano
15 S. Canestrelli
21 T. Arrigoni
6 A. Iovine
7 M. Chajia
45 E. Pierozzi

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,08
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Serra · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.