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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Mantova
U T U S U
0–2
Full-time
Reggiana
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
37%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
6 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 27
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mantova 12. · Reggiana 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Spezia 19 10 8 1 +18 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 -1 28
6 Cesena 19 7 4 8 +1 25
7 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 +3 24
8 Bari 19 5 9 5 +2 24
9 Palermo 19 6 6 7 +2 24
10 Modena 19 5 9 5 +1 24
11 Carrarese 19 6 6 7 -4 24
12 Mantova 19 5 8 6 -2 23
13 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
14 Cosenza 19 4 9 6 -3 21
15 Reggiana 19 5 6 8 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 19 4 8 7 -6 20
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 19 5 2 12 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Aug -24 Reggiana – Mantova 2–2

Match report

Mantova Reggiana
11′
A. Sersanti 0–1
Mattia Muroni 🟨
18′
32′
🟨 Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Davis Mensah 🟨
36′
Alex Redolfi 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Stefano Cella 🟨
59′
D. Wieser 🔁
↦ M. Muroni
61′
A. Fiori 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
61′
F. Galuppini 🔁
↦ M. Aramu
61′
69′
🔁 M. Maggio
↦ M. Portanova
69′
🔁 M. Marras
↦ A. Vergara
70′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ C. Gondo
76′
🟨 Lorenzo Libutti
A. Debenedetti 🔁
↦ D. Bragantini
76′
78′
🟨 Luca Vido
85′
M. Maggio 0–2
T. Reinhart
Francesco Galuppini 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 Y. Nahounou
↦ L. Lucchesi
91′
🔁 L. Štulac
↦ T. Reinhart
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Mantova

3-1-4-2
1 M. Festa G
29 S. Cella D
5 A. Redolfi D
6 C. Bani D
24 F. Artioli M
20 G. Fedel M
28 M. Muroni M
70 M. Aramu M
19 L. Mancuso M
30 D. Bragantini F
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (10)
10 D. Wieser
11 A. Fiori
14 F. Galuppini
9 A. Debenedetti
8 S. Burrai
87 S. De Maio
23 E. Panizzi
16 F. Botti
12 L. Sonzogni
4 M. Solini

Coach: D. Possanzini

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
17 L. Libutti D
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
30 A. Vergara F
11 C. Gondo F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
27 M. Maggio
7 M. Marras
10 L. Vido
87 Y. Nahounou
6 L. Štulac
24 A. Fontanarosa
15 R. Fiamozzi
29 O. Urso
18 O. Okwonkwo
39 G. Cavallini
23 S. Pettinari
99 A. Sposito

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,04
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.