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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Cremonese
S T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Brescia 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Spezia 19 10 8 1 +18 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
4 Cremonese 19 8 5 6 +5 29
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 -1 28
6 Cesena 19 7 4 8 +1 25
7 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 +3 24
8 Bari 19 5 9 5 +2 24
9 Palermo 19 6 6 7 +2 24
10 Modena 19 5 9 5 +1 24
11 Carrarese 19 6 6 7 -4 24
12 Mantova 19 5 8 6 -2 23
13 Brescia 19 5 7 7 -3 22
14 Cosenza 19 4 9 6 -3 21
15 Reggiana 19 5 6 8 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 19 4 8 7 -6 20
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 19 5 2 12 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Brescia
Michele Collocolo 🟨
20′
26′
🟨 Dimitri Bisoli
37′
🟨 Davide Adorni
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ B. Bjarnason
46′
🔁 G. Moncini
↦ P. Nuamah
1–0 F. Vázquez
G. Quagliata
60′
65′
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
66′
M. De Luca 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
66′
69′
🔁 M. Besaggio
↦ G. Olzer
Leonardo Sernicola 🟨
75′
Manuel De Luca ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ J. Vandeputte
83′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
83′
83′
🔁 N. Corrado
↦ A. Jallow
83′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ D. Bisoli
85′
🟥 Andrea Cistana
85′
ℹ️ Nicolas Galazzi
VAR: Card upgrade
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ G. Quagliata
88′
Manuel De Luca 🟨
90′
96′
G. Moncini 1–1
A. Jurič
97′
🟨 Gabriele Moncini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
18 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
3 G. Quagliata M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
6 C. Pickel
9 M. De Luca
62 T. Milanese
11 D. Johnsen
4 T. Barbieri
98 L. Zanimacchia
22 A. Jungdal
21 G. Saro
44 L. Lochoshvili
10 C. Buonaiuto
37 Ž. Majer
25 D. Triacca

Coach: G. Stroppa

Brescia

4-4-1-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
20 P. Nuamah M
6 M. Verreth M
25 D. Bisoli M
27 G. Olzer M
8 B. Bjarnason F
7 A. Jurič F
Bench (12)
23 N. Galazzi
11 G. Moncini
39 M. Besaggio
19 N. Corrado
9 F. Bianchi
32 A. Papetti
12 M. Avella
26 M. Bertagnoli
22 L. Andrenacci
33 Z. Muça
5 G. Calvani
4 F. Paghera

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,57
B
4,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.