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Serie B
Referee: G Scatena
Modena
U U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Sudtirol
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 23
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Modena 10. · Sudtirol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 19 13 4 2 +23 43
2 Spezia 19 10 8 1 +18 38
3 Pisa 19 11 5 3 +14 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 19 7 7 5 -1 28
6 Cesena 19 7 4 8 +1 25
7 Catanzaro 19 4 12 3 +3 24
8 Bari 19 5 9 5 +2 24
9 Palermo 19 6 6 7 +2 24
10 Modena 19 5 9 5 +1 24
11 Carrarese 19 6 6 7 -4 24
12 Mantova 19 5 8 6 -2 23
13 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
14 Cosenza 19 4 9 6 -3 21
15 Reggiana 19 5 6 8 -4 21
16 Cittadella 19 5 6 8 -13 21
17 Sampdoria 19 4 8 7 -6 20
18 Frosinone 19 4 7 8 -10 19
19 Salernitana 19 4 6 9 -9 18
20 Sudtirol 19 5 2 12 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Sudtirol
Giovanni Zaro 🟨
1′
Cristian Cauz ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
27′
Cristian Cauz 🟥
28′
38′
🟨 Raphael Kofler
Half-time 0–0
F. Abiuso 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
46′
A. Dellavalle 🔁
↦ T. Battistella
46′
46′
🔁 H. El Kaouakibi
↦ R. Kofler
52′
🟨 Silvio Merkaj
57′
🟨 Daniele Casiraghi
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ A. Di Pardo
64′
E. Gliozzi 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
64′
Mattia Caldara 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 M. Rover
↦ S. Merkaj
74′
🟨 Daniele Casiraghi
74′
🟥 Daniele Casiraghi
Fabio Abiuso 🟨
78′
86′
🔁 T. Arrigoni
↦ J. Martini
86′
🔁 A. Mallamo
↦ M. Praszelik
R. Idrissi 🔁
↦ M. Cotali
88′
Simone Santoro 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
5 T. Battistella F
21 K. Bozhanaj F
11 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (12)
90 F. Abiuso
25 A. Dellavalle
6 L. Magnino
9 E. Gliozzi
27 R. Idrissi
99 T. Alberti
78 F. Bagheria
7 E. Duca
2 G. Beyuku
1 J. Sassi
92 G. Defrel
24 M. Oliva

Coach: P. Mandelli

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
30 A. Giorgini D
79 S. Molina M
99 M. Praszelik M
6 J. Martini M
17 D. Casiraghi M
11 K. Zedadka M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
2 H. El Kaouakibi
7 M. Rover
4 T. Arrigoni
8 A. Mallamo
3 A. Cagnano
12 G. Drago
14 F. Davi
24 S. Davì
9 V. Crespi
23 L. Ceppitelli
46 D. Brik
16 E. Lamanna

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,19
B
4,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.