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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Celtic
S S U U S
4–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 17/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
88%
21%
Points per game
2,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
65%
68%
Both score Ø 38%
18%
58%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
0,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+2,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
30 Shots 1
11 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 15 2 0 +44 47
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 +18 35
3 Aberdeen 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Dundee United 18 7 7 4 +7 28
5 St Mirren 19 8 3 8 -4 27
6 Motherwell 18 8 2 8 -8 26
7 Hibernian 19 5 6 8 -5 21
8 Kilmarnock 19 5 6 8 -12 21
9 Dundee 18 5 4 9 -6 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -18 18
11 Hearts 19 4 4 11 -8 16
12 ST Johnstone 19 4 2 13 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Sep -24 ST Johnstone – Celtic 0–6 16. Mar -24 Celtic – ST Johnstone 3–1 3. Dec -23 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–3 26. Aug -23 Celtic – ST Johnstone 0–0 5. Feb -23 ST Johnstone – Celtic 1–4

Match report

Celtic ST Johnstone
26′
🟨 Aaron Essel
1–0 N. Kühn ⚽
R. Hatate
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Neilson
↦ A. Essel
46′
🔁 B. Kimpioka
↦ M. Kirk
46′
🔁 A. Sidibeh
↦ N. Clark
2–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
59′
3–0 K. Furuhashi ⚽
A. Engels
64′
C. McGregor 🔁
↦ A. Engels
67′
A. Idah 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
68′
D. Maeda 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
68′
69′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ S. Sprangler
4–0 D. Maeda ⚽
Paulo Bernardo
73′
A. Ralston 🔁
↦ A. Johnston
74′
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
74′
79′
🔁 J. Holt
↦ J. Sanders
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
11 Álex Valle D
27 A. Engels M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
13 Yang Hyun-Jun F
Bench (9)
42 C. McGregor
9 A. Idah
38 D. Maeda
56 A. Ralston
14 L. McCowan
12 V. Sinisalo
7 L. Palma
3 G. Taylor
6 A. Trusty

Coach: B. Rodgers

ST Johnstone

3-5-1-1
12 J. Rae G
5 J. Sanders D
4 K. Cameron D
2 B. Mikulić D
46 F. Franczak
15 A. Essel M
23 S. Sprangler M
22 M. Smith M
3 A. Raymond M
10 N. Clark F
27 M. Kirk F
Bench (9)
6 L. Neilson
29 B. Kimpioka
16 A. Sidibeh
11 G. Carey
7 J. Holt
17 M. Kucheriavyi
33 D. Keltjens
20 R. Sinclair
14 D. Wright

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
🔒
U
9,08
🔒
B
17,61
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,25
🔒
U2,5
3,60
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.