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Championship
Referee: S Barrott
Norwich
T U T T S
1–1
Full-time
QPR
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
30%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,01 xG 0,21
57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 12. · QPR 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 23 14 6 3 +28 +24.7 48
2 Burnley 23 13 8 2 +21 +7.2 47
3 Sheffield United 21 13 5 3 +17 +9.1 44
4 Sunderland 21 12 7 2 +17 +4.3 43
5 Blackburn 22 11 5 6 +7 +0.7 38
6 Watford 22 11 4 7 +3 -2.7 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 +10 +13.1 36
8 West Brom 23 8 11 4 +9 +4.5 35
9 Sheffield Weds 23 9 6 8 -2 -2.8 33
10 Swansea 23 8 6 9 +3 +0.5 30
11 Bristol City 22 7 9 6 +0 +1.4 30
12 Norwich 23 7 8 8 +4 +5.2 29
13 Millwall 22 7 7 8 +2 +6.1 28
14 Derby 23 7 6 10 +0 -1.0 27
15 Coventry 22 7 5 10 -2 +13.6 26
16 Preston 23 5 11 7 -6 -4.2 26
17 QPR 23 5 10 8 -8 -5.5 25
18 Luton 23 7 4 12 -14 -2.4 25
19 Stoke 23 5 7 11 -9 -12.1 22
20 Oxford 22 5 6 11 -15 -13.3 21
21 Portsmouth 21 4 8 9 -11 -9.4 20
22 Hull 23 4 7 12 -11 -3.5 19
23 Cardiff 22 4 6 12 -16 -10.4 18
24 Plymouth 22 4 6 12 -27 -23.2 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich QPR
Ben Chrisene 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Sam Field
Half-time 1–0
49′
A. Crnac 1–0
own goal
58′
🔁 N. Madsen
↦ L. Andersen
58′
🔁 J. Varane
↦ S. Field
58′
🔁 M. Frey
↦ R. Kolli
62′
🟨 Harrison Ashby
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ A. Ben Slimane
63′
J. Stacey 🔁
↦ K. Fisher
63′
68′
🟨 Kieran Morgan
70′
🔁 K. Saito
↦ P. Smyth
J. Córdoba 🔁
↦ B. Chrisene
74′
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ A. Crnac
74′
79′
🟨 Michael Frey
A. Barnes 🔁
↦ O. Schwartau
81′
88′
🔁 D. Bennie
↦ I. Chair
2–0 M. Núñez
O. Hernández
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Norwich

4-3-3
1 A. Gunn G
35 K. Fisher D
4 S. Duffy D
6 C. Doyle D
14 B. Chrisene D
20 A. Ben Slimane M
23 K. McLean M
26 M. Núñez M
29 O. Schwartau F
17 A. Crnac F
7 Borja Sainz F
Bench (9)
11 E. Marcondes
3 J. Stacey
33 J. Córdoba
25 O. Hernández
10 A. Barnes
12 G. Long
44 E. Myles
5 G. Hanley
18 A. Forson

Coach: J. Thorup

QPR

4-1-4-1
1 P. Nardi G
20 H. Ashby D
3 J. Dunne D
15 M. Fox D
22 K. Paal D
8 S. Field M
11 P. Smyth M
25 L. Andersen M
21 K. Morgan M
10 I. Chair M
26 R. Kolli F
Bench (9)
24 N. Madsen
40 J. Varane
12 M. Frey
14 K. Saito
27 D. Bennie
6 J. Clarke-Salter
28 A. Lloyd
13 J. Walsh
19 E. Dixon-Bonner

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,75
B
4,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.