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Serie B
Referee: V Crezzini
Sassuolo
S S U S S
4–0
Full-time
Salernitana
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
62%
23%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Salernitana 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
5 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
6 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Bari 13 3 8 2 +4 17
8 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
10 Juve Stabia 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Catanzaro 13 2 9 2 +2 15
13 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
15 Reggiana 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Salernitana 13 3 4 6 -5 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Salernitana
16′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
41′
🟨 Andrés Tello
Half-time 0–0
Samuele Mulattieri ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
54′
🔁 J. Braaf
↦ A. Tello
54′
🔁 J. Reine-Adélaïde
↦ D. Bronn
E. Iannoni 🔁
↦ Pedro Obiang
62′
A. Laurienté 🔁
↦ S. Mulattieri
62′
1–0 N. Pierini
D. Berardi
64′
73′
🔁 Y. Kallon
↦ R. Soriano
73′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ D. Verde
Y. Paz 🔁
↦ E. Pieragnolo
80′
2–0 A. Laurienté
D. Berardi
82′
L. Moro 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
85′
C. Volpato 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
85′
87′
🔁 A. Hrustić
↦ L. Amatucci
3–0 L. Moro
90′
4–0 K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
96′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
19 F. Romagna D
15 E. Pieragnolo D
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
77 N. Pierini M
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (12)
40 E. Iannoni
45 A. Laurienté
17 Y. Paz
24 L. Moro
7 C. Volpato
80 T. Muharemović
29 F. Caligara
44 K. Miranda
2 F. Missori
35 L. Lipani
91 F. Russo
12 G. Satalino

Coach: F. Grosso

Salernitana

3-5-2
1 V. Fiorillo G
15 D. Bronn D
33 G. Ferrari D
13 F. Ruggeri D
29 P. Ghiglione M
21 R. Soriano M
73 L. Amatucci M
70 A. Tello M
44 P. Jaroszyński M
31 D. Verde F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (10)
24 J. Braaf
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
11 Y. Kallon
9 S. Nwankwo
8 A. Hrustić
77 A. Sfait
4 T. Velthuis
55 L. Sepe
2 D. Gentile
12 F. Corriere

Coach: S. Colantuono

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,81
B
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.