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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Sassuolo
S S S S T
5–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
27%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Sampdoria 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 16 9 6 1 +17 33
3 Pisa 16 9 5 2 +11 32
4 Bari 16 5 9 2 +6 24
5 Cremonese 16 7 3 6 +4 24
6 Cesena 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
8 Palermo 16 5 6 5 +3 21
9 Catanzaro 16 3 11 2 +3 20
10 Cosenza 16 4 8 4 -1 20
11 Brescia 16 5 4 7 -3 19
12 Carrarese 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 Reggiana 16 4 6 6 -2 18
14 Mantova 16 4 6 6 -4 18
15 Modena 16 3 8 5 -1 17
16 Sampdoria 15 4 5 6 -2 17
17 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
18 Frosinone 16 3 7 6 -9 16
19 Cittadella 16 3 5 8 -16 14
20 Sudtirol 16 4 1 11 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Sampdoria
Kristian Thorstvedt 🟨
9′
1–0 A. Laurienté
E. Pieragnolo
25′
30′
🟨 Alex Ferrari
2–0 C. Odenthal
K. Thorstvedt
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Benedetti
↦ E. Akinsanmiro
46′
🔁 Estanis Pedrola
↦ N. Sekulov
47′
🔁 S. Vulikić
↦ A. Ferrari
55′
🔁 M. Coda
↦ A. La Gumina
60′
🟨 Leonardo Benedetti
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ S. Mulattieri
61′
J. Doig 🔁
↦ E. Pieragnolo
61′
E. Iannoni 🔁
↦ Pedro Obiang
62′
3–0 N. Pierini
D. Berardi
64′
72′
🔁 S. Leonardi
↦ G. Tutino
4–0 D. Berardi
74′
A. Ghion 🔁
↦ K. Thorstvedt
76′
81′
M. Coda 4–1
L. Moro 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
82′
5–1 D. Berardi
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
15 E. Pieragnolo D
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (12)
77 N. Pierini
3 J. Doig
40 E. Iannoni
8 A. Ghion
24 L. Moro
20 M. Lovato
91 F. Russo
7 C. Volpato
2 F. Missori
55 J. Kumi
44 K. Miranda
12 G. Satalino

Coach: F. Grosso

Sampdoria

4-2-3-1
1 P. Vismara G
18 L. Venuti D
25 A. Ferrari D
5 A. Riccio D
44 N. Ioannou D
28 Gerard Yepes M
17 M. Meulensteen M
15 E. Akinsanmiro M
10 G. Tutino M
84 N. Sekulov M
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (12)
31 S. Vulikić
80 L. Benedetti
11 Estanis Pedrola
9 M. Coda
34 S. Leonardi
23 F. Depaoli
7 A. Bellemo
21 S. Giordano
72 D. Veroli
8 M. Ricci
14 P. Kasami
22 S. Ghidotti

Coach: A. Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,95
B
4,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.