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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Bari
U S U S U
1–3
Full-time
Juve Stabia
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bari Juve Stabia
3′
🟨 Francesco Folino
24′
⚽ M. Bellich 0–1
N. Mosti
35′
🟨 Marco Ruggero
40′
🟨 Romano Floriani Mussolini
43′
🟨 Davide Buglio
Half-time 0–1
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ L. Sgarbi
46′
46′
🔁 M. Varnier
↦ M. Ruggero
46′
🔁 Y. Rocchetti
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
47′
⚽ F. Folino 0–2
N. Mosti
Giuseppe Sibilli 🟨
54′
57′
🟨 Cristian Andreoni
M. Maita 🔁
↦ R. Maiello
59′
G. Ricci 🔁
↦ C. Favasuli
59′
65′
🔁 C. Pierobon
↦ K. Piscopo
70′
🟨 Marco Varnier
G. Manzari 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
72′
76′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ L. Candellone
80′
⚽ G. Artistico 0–3
C. Pierobon
Raffaele Pucino 🟨
82′
88′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ G. Leone
G. Morachioli 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
91′
1–3 G. Ricci ⚽
M. Dorval
93′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
55 N. Obaretin D
27 C. Favasuli M
17 R. Maiello M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
11 L. Sgarbi F
20 G. Sibilli F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
9 A. Novakovich
4 M. Maita
31 G. Ricci
18 G. Manzari
14 G. Morachioli
16 A. Astrologo
5 E. Matino
26 K. Lulić
22 M. Pissardo
28 A. Hemsley
80 F. Faggi
3 V. Mantovani

Coach: M. Longo

Juve Stabia

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
23 F. Folino D
4 M. Ruggero D
6 M. Bellich D
28 C. Andreoni M
8 D. Buglio M
55 G. Leone M
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
98 N. Mosti F
11 K. Piscopo F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
24 M. Varnier
3 Y. Rocchetti
10 C. Pierobon
90 G. Artistico
14 M. Meli
19 D. Mignanelli
17 R. Tonin
99 E. Piovanello
1 K. Matošević
13 M. Baldi
37 F. Maistro
25 A. Gerbo

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B ✓
4,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,35
🔒
U2,5
1,57
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.