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Serie B
Referee: N Turrini
Monza
U S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,93 xG 1,84
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monza 4. · Juve Stabia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 25 16 5 4 +28 +22.9 53
2 Frosinone 24 14 7 3 +22 +5.2 49
3 Palermo 25 13 9 3 +23 +8.0 48
4 Monza 24 14 6 4 +17 +10.0 48
5 Catanzaro 25 11 8 6 +8 -1.3 41
6 Modena 25 11 7 7 +14 +7.1 40
7 Juve Stabia 24 9 11 4 +2 +0.7 38
8 Cesena 25 11 4 10 -2 +4.3 37
9 Sudtirol 24 6 12 6 +1 -4.4 30
10 Carrarese 25 7 9 9 -4 -6.9 30
11 Sampdoria 25 7 8 10 -5 +0.9 29
12 Padova 25 7 8 10 -6 -5.9 29
13 Empoli 24 7 7 10 -4 +0.1 28
14 Avellino 24 7 7 10 -11 -13.6 28
15 Virtus Entella 25 5 10 10 -11 -6.1 25
16 Reggiana 24 6 6 12 -8 -2.8 24
17 Mantova 25 6 5 14 -16 -1.5 23
18 Spezia 24 5 7 12 -10 +1.8 22
19 Bari 24 4 9 11 -17 -13.0 21
20 Pescara 24 2 9 13 -21 -5.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -25 Juve Stabia – Monza 2–2

Match report

Monza Juve Stabia
2′
N. Mosti 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Hernani
51′
58′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ A. Okoro
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ A. Alvarez
61′
2–1 A. Petagna
64′
71′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ N. Mosti
71′
🔁 P. Matheu
↦ K. Zeroli
A. Bakoune 🔁
↦ P. Ciurria
72′
L. Lucchesi 🔁
↦ A. Carboni
72′
L. Colombo 🔁
↦ Hernani
79′
D. Mota 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
79′
79′
🔁 M. Ricciardi
↦ L. Carissoni
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monza

3-5-2
20 D. Thiam G
19 S. Birindelli D
13 L. Ravanelli D
44 A. Carboni D
26 P. Ciurria M
8 Hernani M
14 P. Obiang M
32 M. Pessina M
7 P. Azzi M
10 P. Cutrone F
25 A. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pizzignacco
24 A. Bakoune
27 S. Capolupo
15 F. Delli Carri
3 L. Lucchesi
2 A. Brorsson
21 L. Colombo
28 A. Colpani
17 K. Balde
30 G. Caso
47 D. Mota
37 A. Petagna

Coach: Paolo Bianco

Juve Stabia

3-5-1-1
1 A. Confente G
6 M. Bellich D
14 C. Dalle Mura D
33 A. Giorgini D
24 L. Carissoni M
98 N. Mosti M
55 G. Leone M
29 O. Correia M
77 A. Cacciamani M
8 K. Zeroli F
90 A. Okoro F
Bench (11)
23 P. Boer
16 A. Signorini
21 S. Kassama
76 M. Mannini
17 A. Ciammaglichella
37 F. Maistro
2 M. Ricciardi
28 E. Torrasi
7 R. Burnete
9 A. Gabrielloni
70 P. Matheu

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,48
B
5,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Turrini · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.