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Super League
Referee: A Kanagasingam
Lausanne
S U T U T
3–3
Full-time
Servette
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 73%
71%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,51 xG 1,18
53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lausanne 8. · Servette 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 25 19 1 5 +29 +3.2 58
2 St. Gallen 24 13 4 7 +15 +6.4 43
3 Lugano 24 12 6 6 +11 +0.0 42
4 Basel 24 11 6 7 +7 +12.0 39
5 Sion 25 9 10 6 +7 +4.7 37
6 Young Boys 25 10 6 9 +2 -2.1 36
7 Luzern 25 7 9 9 +1 -2.6 30
8 Lausanne 24 7 8 9 -2 +3.5 29
9 Zurich 25 8 4 13 -12 -0.8 28
10 Servette 24 6 8 10 -7 +4.9 26
11 Grasshoppers 25 4 9 12 -12 -13.6 21
12 Winterthur 24 3 5 16 -39 -15.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Servette
20′
S. Mraz 0–1
M. Stevanovic
27′
🟥 Marco Burch
27′
ℹ️ Marco Burch
VAR: Card upgrade
1–1 J. Roche
28′
2–1 S. Traore
39′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Y. Severin
↦ B. Mazikou
Jamie Roche 🟨
48′
59′
M. Stevanovic 2–2
L. Njoh
G. Diakite 🔁
↦ S. Traore
64′
O. Janneh 🔁
↦ N. Butler-Oyedeji
64′
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
64′
Nicky Beloko 🟨
68′
3–2 O. Janneh
G. Diakite
73′
F. Mollet 🔁
↦ B. Lekoueiry
74′
80′
🔁 T. Allix
↦ H. Mendes
81′
🔁 T. Lopes
↦ A. Jallow
Nicky Beloko 🟨
89′
Nicky Beloko 🟥
89′
90′
M. Stevanovic 3–3
L. Njoh
93′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ S. Mraz
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
6 T. Bergvall D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
18 M. Poaty D
10 O. Custodio M
8 J. Roche M
16 N. Beloko M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
17 S. Traore F
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
5 D. Ngonzo
7 A. Ajdini
22 E. Kana-Biyik
70 G. Diakite
78 O. Janneh
80 S. Kone
91 F. Mollet
93 S. Fofana

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Servette

4-4-2
1 J. Mall G
17 H. Mendes D
15 M. Burch D
4 S. Rouiller D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanovic M
28 D. Douline M
8 T. Cognat M
14 L. Njoh M
30 A. Jallow F
90 S. Mraz F
Bench (9)
40 M. Aubert
5 G. Ondoua
11 L. Fomba
19 Y. Severin
25 D. Bronn
34 T. Allix
36 T. Lopes
39 M. Miguel
45 J. Atangana

Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kanagasingam · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.