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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M P Eckermann
Magdeburg
S S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Bielefeld
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,59 xG 1,14
60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 15. · Bielefeld 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 22 11 9 2 +18 +7.1 42
2 Elversberg 22 12 5 5 +15 +0.1 41
3 Hannover 22 12 5 5 +11 +11.2 41
4 Schalke 04 21 12 4 5 +10 +5.5 40
5 Paderborn 21 12 3 6 +9 +10.5 39
6 Hertha 22 9 7 6 +7 -4.3 34
7 Kaiserslautern 22 10 4 8 +5 -0.9 34
8 Nurnberg 22 8 5 9 -2 +1.8 29
9 Bochum 21 7 6 8 +3 +3.7 27
10 Karlsruhe 22 7 6 9 -11 -16.0 27
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -11 -2.5 25
12 Braunschweig 22 7 4 11 -12 +0.7 25
13 Bielefeld 21 6 6 9 +3 +1.7 24
14 Holstein Kiel 21 6 6 9 -3 -10.1 24
15 Magdeburg 21 7 2 12 -6 +5.1 23
16 Preußen Münster 22 5 8 9 -7 -5.8 23
17 Dresden 22 5 6 11 -8 -0.0 21
18 Greuther Furth 22 5 4 13 -21 -7.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Bielefeld
19′
🟨 Christopher Lannert
Rayan Ghrieb 🟨
28′
32′
M. Bauer 0–1
T. Handwerker
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Stefano Russo
R. Tachie 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
64′
70′
🔁 B. Boakye
↦ C. Lannert
71′
🔁 M. Mehlem
↦ M. Worl
Marcus Mathisen 🟨
79′
F. Michel 🔁
↦ L. Ulrich
80′
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ D. Stalmach
80′
80′
🔁 N. Sarenren Bazee
↦ R. Uldrikis
80′
🔁 J. Grodowski
↦ T. Momuluh
88′
B. Boakye 0–2
N. Sarenren Bazee
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ M. Zukowski
89′
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
89′
91′
🔁 E. Yasar
↦ M. Corboz
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
19 L. Musonda M
6 D. Stalmach M
8 L. Ulrich M
17 A. Nollenberger M
29 R. Ghrieb F
22 M. Zukowski F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
7 H. Bockhorn
9 M. Breunig
10 N. Pesch
18 R. Tachie
21 F. Michel
25 S. Gnaka
27 P. Hercher
28 M. Geschwill

Coach: Petrik Sander

Bielefeld

4-1-4-1
1 J. Kersken G
24 C. Lannert D
5 M. Bauer D
31 R. Knoche D
29 T. Handwerker D
21 S. Russo M
14 T. Momuluh M
6 M. Corboz M
38 M. Worl M
22 J. Rochelt M
28 R. Uldrikis F
Bench (9)
18 L. Oppermann
17 A. Sicker
19 M. Grosser
10 M. Mehlem
27 B. Boakye
37 N. Sarenren Bazee
44 E. Yasar
7 S. Telalovic
11 J. Grodowski

Coach: Michel Kniat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,64
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.