2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Magdeburg
Bielefeld
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Darmstadt
|
22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +18 | +7.1 | 42 |
| 2 |
Elversberg
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +15 | +0.1 | 41 |
| 3 |
Hannover
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +11 | +11.2 | 41 |
| 4 |
Schalke 04
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +10 | +5.5 | 40 |
| 5 |
Paderborn
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +9 | +10.5 | 39 |
| 6 |
Hertha
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +7 | -4.3 | 34 |
| 7 |
Kaiserslautern
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +5 | -0.9 | 34 |
| 8 |
Nurnberg
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -2 | +1.8 | 29 |
| 9 |
Bochum
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +3 | +3.7 | 27 |
| 10 |
Karlsruhe
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -11 | -16.0 | 27 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -11 | -2.5 | 25 |
| 12 |
Braunschweig
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -12 | +0.7 | 25 |
| 13 |
Bielefeld
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | +3 | +1.7 | 24 |
| 14 |
Holstein Kiel
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | -10.1 | 24 |
| 15 |
Magdeburg
|
21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -6 | +5.1 | 23 |
| 16 |
Preußen Münster
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -7 | -5.8 | 23 |
| 17 |
Dresden
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -8 | -0.0 | 21 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | -7.6 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Reimann
G
J. Hugonet
D
M. Mathisen
D
T. Muller
D
D. Stalmach
M
L. Ulrich
M
A. Nollenberger
M
R. Ghrieb
F
M. Zukowski
F
B. Atik
F
Coach: Petrik Sander
J. Kersken
G
C. Lannert
D
M. Bauer
D
T. Handwerker
D
S. Russo
M
T. Momuluh
M
M. Corboz
M
M. Worl
M
J. Rochelt
M
R. Uldrikis
F
Coach: Michel Kniat
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Greuther Furth
Magdeburg
Magdeburg
Hannover
Magdeburg
Dresden
Braunschweig
Magdeburg
Kaiserslautern
Magdeburg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.