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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Feyenoord
S S T T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
59%
18%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
59%
73%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,99 xG 0,12
75% Possession 25%
33 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 0
11 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
19 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Go Ahead Eagles 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 19 2 2 +39 +23.3 59
2 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 +20 +18.2 42
3 Nijmegen 22 12 5 5 +19 +8.4 41
4 Ajax 22 10 9 3 +14 +6.6 39
5 AZ Alkmaar 23 10 6 7 +2 +15.3 36
6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 -7 -2.5 36
7 Twente 22 8 10 4 +12 +23.6 34
8 Groningen 22 9 4 9 +2 +7.8 31
9 Utrecht 22 8 5 9 +5 -0.9 29
10 Heerenveen 21 7 6 8 -2 +10.8 27
11 For Sittard 23 7 5 11 -8 -14.5 26
12 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 -14 -15.9 26
13 Excelsior 23 7 5 11 -14 -14.6 26
14 Volendam 23 6 6 11 -12 -19.0 24
15 Go Ahead Eagles 22 4 11 7 -5 -12.7 23
16 NAC Breda 23 4 7 12 -12 -7.8 19
17 Telstar 22 3 8 11 -12 -10.7 17
18 Heracles 23 5 2 16 -27 -15.5 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Go Ahead Eagles
14′
ℹ️ Thibo Baeten
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
🟥 Thibo Baeten
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ O. Targhalline
18′
43′
🟨 Jakob Breum
Half-time 0–0
C. Tengstedt 🔁
46′
59′
🔁 R. Margaret
↦ J. Slory
G. Borges 🔁
↦ A. Sliti
63′
72′
🟨 Richonell Margaret
82′
🟨 Aske Adelgaard
84′
🔁 Y. Salah Rahmouni
↦ M. Suray
1–0 C. Tengstedt
90′
93′
🔁 S. I. Sigurdarson
↦ E. Linthorst
In-Beom Hwang 🟨
95′
T. van den Elshout 🔁
↦ A. Ueda
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
13 S. Benda G
20 M. Deijl D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
15 J. Bos D
28 O. Targhalline M
6 Hwang In-Beom M
23 A. Hadj Moussa M
7 J. Moder M
32 A. Sliti M
9 A. Ueda F
Bench (11)
11 G. Borges
37 M. Berger
39 L. Bossin
24 T. Kraaijeveld
30 J. Lotomba
2 B. Nieuwkoop
5 G. Smal
8 J. St. Juste
14 S. Steijn
17 C. Tengstedt
44 T. van den Elshout

Coach: Robin van Persie

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
22 J. De Busser G
2 A. Sampsted D
26 J. Dirksen D
4 J. Kramer D
29 A. Adelgaard D
21 M. Meulensteen M
8 E. Linthorst M
19 J. Slory M
7 J. Breum M
17 M. Suray M
23 T. Baeten F
Bench (12)
24 K. Goudmijn
18 R. Margaret
1 L. Plogmann
34 Y. Salah Rahmouni
9 S. I. Sigurdarson
11 O. Sivertsen
27 F. Stokkers
31 D. Tijman
33 N. Verdoni
20 E. Waayers
25 G. van Zwam
10 S. Tengstedt

Coach: Melvin Boel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
4,99
B
6,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,43
U2,5 ✓
2,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.