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LaLiga2

Valladolid

S S T T S

4–1

Full-time

Lugo

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 40%

55%

24%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

45%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

45%

70%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 0

17 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 3. · Lugo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	33	19	9	5	+14	66
2	Almeria	33	19	5	9	+22	62
3	Valladolid	33	18	7	8	+17	61
4	Girona	34	17	7	10	+16	58
5	Tenerife	33	16	7	10	+15	55
6	Ponferradina	33	13	12	8	+5	51
7	Oviedo	33	11	15	7	+9	48
8	Las Palmas	33	12	11	10	+2	47
9	Cartagena	33	14	4	15	-1	46
10	Burgos	33	13	6	14	+4	45
11	Huesca	33	11	11	11	+8	44
12	Ibiza	33	10	14	9	+0	44
13	Zaragoza	33	9	16	8	-5	43
14	Lugo	33	8	18	7	+2	42
15	Leganes	33	10	12	11	-1	42
16	Mirandes	33	12	6	15	-6	42
17	Sp Gijon	33	10	9	14	-2	39
18	Malaga	34	9	10	15	-21	37
19	Sociedad B	33	7	10	16	-12	31
20	Fuenlabrada	33	5	14	14	-17	29
21	Amorebieta	33	4	16	13	-15	28
22	Alcorcon	33	3	9	21	-34	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	16	12	3	1	+14	39
2	Valladolid	16	11	3	2	+18	36
3	Girona	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Almeria	17	11	3	3	+16	36
5	Burgos	16	9	4	3	+16	31
6	Oviedo	17	8	7	2	+14	31
7	Cartagena	16	10	1	5	+13	31
8	Las Palmas	17	8	5	4	+7	29
9	Mirandes	17	9	2	6	+5	29
10	Ponferradina	16	7	7	2	+10	28
11	Lugo	16	7	7	2	+5	28
12	Tenerife	16	8	3	5	+10	27
13	Malaga	17	7	5	5	-3	26
14	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+5	24
15	Sp Gijon	17	7	3	7	+2	24
16	Zaragoza	17	5	9	3	+2	24
17	Ibiza	17	5	8	4	+4	23
18	Leganes	16	5	8	3	+4	23
19	Fuenlabrada	17	4	9	4	+0	21
20	Amorebieta	16	3	8	5	-2	17
21	Sociedad B	16	3	4	9	-8	13
22	Alcorcon	16	2	6	8	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	17	8	4	5	+5	28
2	Eibar	17	7	6	4	+0	27
3	Almeria	16	8	2	6	+6	26
4	Valladolid	17	7	4	6	-1	25
5	Ponferradina	17	6	5	6	-5	23
6	Girona	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Ibiza	16	5	6	5	-4	21
8	Huesca	16	5	5	6	+3	20
9	Leganes	17	5	4	8	-5	19
10	Zaragoza	16	4	7	5	-7	19
11	Sociedad B	17	4	6	7	-4	18
12	Las Palmas	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Oviedo	16	3	8	5	-5	17
14	Sp Gijon	16	3	6	7	-4	15
15	Cartagena	17	4	3	10	-14	15
16	Lugo	17	1	11	5	-3	14
17	Burgos	17	4	2	11	-12	14
18	Mirandes	16	3	4	9	-11	13
19	Amorebieta	17	1	8	8	-13	11
20	Malaga	17	2	5	10	-18	11
21	Fuenlabrada	16	1	5	10	-17	8
22	Alcorcon	17	1	3	13	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.