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Championship
Referee: G Ward
QPR
T S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Fulham
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Championship · 40/39 matches
Win Ø 54%
43%
64%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 11. · Fulham 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 39 25 8 6 +60 83
2 Bournemouth 38 20 11 7 +28 71
3 Huddersfield 40 19 12 9 +14 69
4 Sheffield United 38 19 8 11 +18 65
5 Luton 38 19 8 11 +17 65
6 Middlesbrough 39 19 8 12 +14 65
7 Blackburn 40 18 10 12 +14 64
8 Coventry 40 17 10 13 +9 61
9 West Brom 40 16 12 12 +10 60
10 Nott'm Forest 35 17 8 10 +21 59
11 QPR 40 17 8 15 +3 59
12 Millwall 39 15 12 12 +2 57
13 Preston 40 14 15 11 -2 57
14 Blackpool 39 15 10 14 +0 55
15 Swansea 39 15 9 15 -7 54
16 Stoke 40 14 11 15 +6 53
17 Cardiff 40 14 8 18 -7 50
18 Derby 41 12 13 16 -7 49
19 Bristol City 40 13 8 19 -19 47
20 Hull 42 12 8 22 -10 44
21 Birmingham 41 10 13 18 -19 43
22 Reading 40 12 7 21 -27 43
23 Barnsley 39 6 11 22 -26 29
24 Peterborough 38 6 8 24 -44 26
25 Peterboro 39 6 8 25 -48 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Fulham
14′
A. Mitrović 0–1
Fábio Carvalho
Half-time 0–1
Lee Wallace 🟨
51′
I. Chair 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
70′
C. Austin 🔁
↦ G. Thomas
73′
75′
🔁 N. Chalobah
↦ T. Cairney
Yoann Barbet 🟨
76′
78′
A. Mitrović 0–2
A. Dozzell 🔁
↦ L. Amos
79′
79′
🔁 N. Kebano
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
87′
🔁 J. Seri
↦ H. Reed
Samuel Field 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

QPR

3-4-2-1
29 K. Westwood G
3 L. Wallace M
22 M. Odubajo M
6 Y. Barbet D
4 R. Dickie D
28 D. Sanderson D
7 S. Johansen M
14 G. Thomas F
15 S. Field M
8 L. Amos F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
10 I. Chair
11 C. Austin
17 A. Dozzell
38 M. Mahoney
27 J. Hendrick
20 J. Dunne
16 S. McCallum

Coach: M. Warburton

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Rodák G
13 T. Ream D
23 J. Bryan D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
20 N. Williams D
10 T. Cairney M
6 H. Reed M
8 H. Wilson M
28 Fábio Carvalho M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
12 N. Chalobah
7 N. Kebano
24 J. Seri
21 P. Gazzaniga
2 K. Tete
3 M. Hector
19 Rodrigo Muniz

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,76
U
3,89
B ✓
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.