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2. Bundesliga
Hansa Rostock
U T S S S
1–0
Full-time
St Pauli
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
74%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

22 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 11. · St Pauli 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 28 15 6 7 +21 51
2 St Pauli 27 15 6 6 +16 51
3 Werder Bremen 27 15 6 6 +15 51
4 Schalke 04 28 15 5 8 +22 50
5 Nurnberg 27 13 7 7 +6 46
6 Hamburg 27 10 12 5 +18 42
7 Heidenheim 27 12 6 9 -1 42
8 Paderborn 28 10 10 8 +9 40
9 Karlsruhe 27 9 10 8 +6 37
10 Regensburg 28 10 7 11 +5 37
11 Hansa Rostock 27 9 7 11 -8 34
12 Holstein Kiel 28 9 7 12 -11 34
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 8 8 11 -1 32
14 Hannover 28 8 8 12 -15 32
15 Sandhausen 27 7 9 11 -14 30
16 Dresden 28 7 7 14 -11 28
17 Erzgebirge Aue 27 4 7 16 -28 19
18 Ingolstadt 28 4 6 18 -29 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,92
U
3,47
B
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.