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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Trujillo
Ibiza
S U U S U
1–3
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ibiza Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 22%
18%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
41%
26%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ibiza 21. · Sp Gijon 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 34 18 10 6 +12 64
2 Las Palmas 34 16 14 4 +18 62
3 Granada 35 18 7 10 +19 61
4 Alaves 34 17 9 8 +14 60
5 Levante 34 15 15 4 +14 60
6 Albacete 34 13 13 8 +5 52
7 Cartagena 34 14 8 12 +4 50
8 Burgos 34 12 13 9 +4 49
9 Villarreal B 35 12 10 13 -3 46
10 Andorra 34 12 8 14 +5 44
11 Zaragoza 35 10 14 11 -2 44
12 Huesca 34 9 16 9 +1 43
13 Tenerife 35 10 13 12 -1 43
14 Mirandes 34 10 12 12 -3 42
15 Sp Gijon 34 9 14 11 -3 41
16 Oviedo 34 10 10 14 -6 40
17 Leganes 34 10 10 14 -7 40
18 Santander 34 9 11 14 -5 38
19 Ponferradina 34 7 14 13 -13 35
20 Malaga 35 7 12 16 -9 33
21 Ibiza 34 6 11 17 -21 29
22 Lugo 35 5 12 18 -23 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ibiza Sp Gijon
German Parreño Boix 🟨
-5′
6′
J. Otero 0–1
Iván Cuéllar
Fausto Grillo 🟨
26′
27′
J. Carrillo 0–2
J. Varane
Half-time 0–2
P. Diop 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
46′
W. Alarcón 🔁
↦ F. Grillo
46′
Juan Fernández 🔁
↦ Fran Grima
46′
Papakouli Diop 🟨
47′
1–2 L. Juliš
Cristian Herrera
51′
Lukáš Juliš 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ I. Jeraldino
62′
🔁 Cristo González
↦ J. Otero
73′
🔁 Aitor García
↦ J. Carrillo
Nolito 🔁
↦ Coke
77′
Suleiman Camara 🔁
↦ Javi Serrano
77′
83′
🟥 Diego Sanchez
89′
🔁 L. Miguel
↦ Víctor Campuzano
93′
🟨 Bruno González
94′
Aitor García 1–3
Iván Cuéllar
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ibiza

4-4-2
13 Daniel Fuzato G
2 Fran Grima D
3 Martín Pascual D
6 F. Grillo D
24 G. Escobar D
23 Coke M
4 Javi Serrano M
14 Iván Morante M
7 Cristian Herrera M
10 Ekain Zenitagoia F
19 L. Juliš F
Bench (11)
5 P. Diop
21 W. Alarcón
15 Juan Fernández
9 Nolito
28 Suleiman Camara
16 Kaxe
1 Germán Parreño
26 Jorge Chanza
29 Isma Ruiz
12 Javi Vázquez
20 K. Appin

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Sp Gijon

3-4-2-1
1 Iván Cuéllar G
24 C. Izquierdoz D
5 Bruno D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
22 Pol Valentín M
8 Pedro Díaz M
37 J. Varane M
32 Diego Sánchez M
19 J. Otero F
20 J. Carrillo F
14 I. Jeraldino F
Bench (11)
11 Víctor Campuzano
12 Cristo González
7 Aitor García
43 L. Miguel
29 Jordi Pola
26 F. Bloch
13 G. De Amores
41 Alejandro Lozano
33 Nacho Martín
21 U. Milovanović
17 Christian Rivera

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
2,91
B ✓
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,54
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Trujillo · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.