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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Mirandes
T U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
31%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
28%
Both score Ø 45%
56%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 17. · Burgos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 37 18 12 7 +10 66
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 37 16 15 6 +16 63
4 Alaves 36 17 11 8 +14 62
5 Levante 37 15 17 5 +13 62
6 Albacete 37 15 13 9 +5 58
7 Cartagena 37 16 8 13 +5 56
8 Andorra 37 14 9 14 +9 51
9 Burgos 36 12 14 10 +3 50
10 Oviedo 37 13 10 14 -3 49
11 Zaragoza 37 11 15 11 +1 48
12 Tenerife 36 11 13 12 +3 46
13 Huesca 36 10 16 10 +1 46
14 Villarreal B 37 12 10 15 -5 46
15 Leganes 36 12 10 14 -5 46
16 Sp Gijon 37 10 15 12 -2 45
17 Mirandes 36 11 12 13 -3 45
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Malaga 37 9 12 16 -6 39
20 Ponferradina 37 7 15 15 -17 36
21 Ibiza 37 6 11 20 -28 29
22 Lugo 37 5 12 20 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Burgos
32′
🟨 Álex Bermejo Escribano
35′
🟨 Miguel Muñoz Mora
Raúl García 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Raúl Navarro
N. Michelis 🔁
↦ Beñat Prados
46′
Beñat Prados 🟨
47′
48′
Curro Sánchez 0–1
Sergio Castel
1–1 Raúl García
Óscar Pinchi
50′
2–1 Raúl García
Juanlu Sánchez
59′
Juanlu Sánchez 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 Juan Hernández
↦ Míchel Zabaco
66′
🔁 Fran García
↦ José Matos
César Gelabert 🔁
↦ Roberto López
75′
David Vicente 🔁
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
75′
77′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Álex Bermejo
77′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Sergio Castel
Jofre Carreras 🔁
↦ Óscar Pinchi
82′
85′
🔁 Marino Illescas
↦ Miki Muñoz
Álvaro Sanz Catalán 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Curro
Raúl Navas 🔁
↦ Álvaro Sanz
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mirandes

3-4-3
13 Alfonso Herrero G
6 Beñat Prados D
4 Álex Martín D
3 Barbu D
8 Juanlu Sánchez M
18 Álvaro Sanz M
20 Oriol Rey M
12 José Salinas M
21 Roberto López F
9 Raúl García F
14 Óscar Pinchi F
Bench (10)
27 N. Michelis
10 César Gelabert
23 David Vicente
22 Jofre Carreras
16 Raúl Navas
19 Manu García
2 Sergio Santos
11 Simón Moreno
28 Javier Llabrés
25 Ž. Frelih

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
4 Míchel Zabaco D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
6 Raúl Navarro M
22 Miki Muñoz M
10 Álex Bermejo M
12 Sergio Castel F
Bench (10)
15 Juan Hernández
3 Fran García
8 Pablo Valcarce
9 Mourad
33 Marino Illescas
28 Saúl del Cerro
7 Juan Artola
2 Borja González
20 Grego
1 Dani Barrio

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
2,87
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,66
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.