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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax Franco
Almeria
U S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Eibar
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 59%
73%
45%
Average goals
3,4
1,9
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,85 xG 0,85
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 4. · Eibar 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 12 8 1 3 +10 -0.4 25
2 Burgos 12 6 3 3 +7 +2.8 21
3 Las Palmas 11 5 4 2 +5 – 19
4 Almeria 11 5 4 2 +3 – 19
5 Cadiz 11 5 4 2 +2 – 19
6 Sp Gijon 11 6 0 5 +0 – 18
7 Ceuta 11 5 3 3 -1 -2.3 18
8 La Coruna 11 4 5 2 +7 – 17
9 Valladolid 11 4 4 3 +3 +2.3 16
10 Cordoba 11 4 4 3 +0 – 16
11 Albacete 12 4 4 4 -2 -1.3 16
12 Leganes 12 3 6 3 +2 +0.4 15
13 Andorra 11 4 3 4 -3 – 15
14 Malaga 11 4 2 5 +0 – 14
15 Cultural Leonesa 12 4 2 6 -1 -2.7 14
16 Huesca 11 4 2 5 -4 +1.3 14
17 Eibar 11 3 4 4 +1 – 13
18 Castellon 11 3 3 5 -1 – 12
19 Granada 11 2 5 4 -4 – 11
20 Sociedad B 11 2 3 6 -4 +0.4 9
21 Mirandes 12 2 3 7 -8 -0.5 9
22 Zaragoza 11 1 3 7 -12 – 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Eibar
4′
🟨 José Corpas
1–0 S. Arribas ⚽
5′
2–0 A. Munoz ⚽
N. Melamed
22′
33′
🟨 Lander Olaetxea
3–0 A. Embarba ⚽
S. Dzodic
45′
Half-time 3–0
Dion Lopy 🟨
49′
Gui Guedes 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
61′
64′
🟨 Anaitz Arbilla
65′
🔁 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
↦ L. Olaetxea
65′
🔁 T. Villa
↦ J. Corpas
65′
🔁 Javier Marton
↦ J. Bautista
A. Puigmal 🔁
↦ N. Melamed
68′
Thalys 🔁
↦ P. Soko
68′
70′
⚽ A. Arbilla 3–1
T. Villa
Álex Muñoz 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 A. Arambarri
↦ A. Arbilla
S. Clua 🔁
↦ S. Dzodic
76′
M. Perovic 🔁
↦ A. Embarba
76′
84′
🔁 H. Garcia
↦ A. Rodriguez
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
17 D. Lopy M
29 S. Dzodic M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
19 P. Soko F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
2 A. Puigmal
8 Gui Guedes
5 S. Clua
9 Thalys
15 A. Hernandez
16 M. Luna
20 A. Centelles
24 L. Robertone
32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura
36 M. Perovic

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
22 A. Rodriguez D
21 M. Moreno D
23 A. Arbilla D
24 L. Buta D
14 L. Olaetxea M
30 A. Garrido M
17 J. Corpas M
5 J. Martinez M
7 X. Alkain M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (10)
1 L. Lopez
3 H. Arrillaga
4 A. Arambarri
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
15 Jair
19 T. Villa
20 Javier Marton
27 H. Garcia
33 M. Delgado
34 O. Llorente

Coach: Beñat San José Gil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,60
B
4,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.