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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
La Coruna
U S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Almeria
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,9
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
8 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 1. · Almeria 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Burgos 7 3 3 1 +5 +3.1 12
6 Eibar 8 3 2 3 +3 11
7 Valladolid 7 3 2 2 +3 +2.3 11
8 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Almeria 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Ceuta 8 3 2 3 -4 -2.3 11
11 Huesca 7 3 1 3 -3 10
12 Sp Gijon 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Castellon 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
16 Leganes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
17 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Cultural Leonesa 7 2 1 4 -5 -3.1 7
19 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -2 6
20 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Cordoba 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Granada 7 1 2 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Almeria
Luismi Cruz 🟨
20′
23′
F. Bonini 0–1
N. Melamed
28′
🟨 Álex Muñoz
Ximo Navarro 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Stefan Džodić
Z. Eddahchouri 🔁
↦ C. Patino
55′
59′
🔁 M. Luna
↦ A. Puigmal
60′
🔁 P. Soko
↦ Leo Baptistao
1–1 Y. Hernandez
Z. Eddahchouri
62′
L. Noubi 🔁
↦ X. Navarro
65′
Stoichkov 🔁
↦ S. Mulattieri
65′
Diego Villares 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ A. Horta
67′
🔁 Gui Guedes
↦ S. Dzodic
71′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
J. Jurado 🔁
↦ D. Villares
89′
C. Herrera 🔁
↦ Cruz Luismi
89′
89′
🔁 M. Perovic
↦ N. Melamed
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-4-2
1 G. Parreno G
23 X. Navarro D
15 M. Loureiro D
5 D. Barcia D
12 G. Quagliata D
19 Cruz Luismi M
8 D. Villares M
6 C. Patino M
21 M. Soriano M
7 S. Mulattieri F
10 Y. Hernandez F
Bench (9)
9 Z. Eddahchouri
4 L. Noubi
20 J. Jurado
35 R. Lopez
13 E. Puerto
17 C. Herrera
28 A. Mane
22 Stoichkov
3 A. Comas

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo Morilla

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
6 A. Horta M
2 A. Puigmal M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
12 Leo Baptistao F
Bench (12)
14 I. Baba
8 Gui Guedes
15 A. Hernandez
13 F. Martinez
16 M. Luna
9 Thalys
21 Chumi
24 L. Robertone
5 S. Clua
36 M. Perovic
19 P. Soko
20 A. Centelles

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,30
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.