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LaLiga2
Referee: L Bestard Servera
Granada
U U S S T
5–1
Full-time
Valladolid
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
24%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 46%
52%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

2,06 xG 0,89
63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Granada 15. · Valladolid 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 5 6 +18 +0.5 47
2 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
3 Almeria 26 13 6 7 +12 +0.9 45
4 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
5 Malaga 25 12 5 8 +9 +0.3 41
6 Cordoba 25 11 8 6 +6 +2.0 41
7 Las Palmas 25 10 10 5 +9 -0.4 40
8 Burgos 26 11 7 8 +4 +4.0 40
9 Sp Gijon 25 12 3 10 +2 +1.9 39
10 Cadiz 26 9 8 9 -2 -1.9 35
11 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
12 Albacete 25 9 6 10 -5 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 26 8 8 10 +1 +4.6 32
14 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
15 Granada 25 6 11 8 -3 -0.4 29
16 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 25 7 7 11 -6 +2.4 28
19 Huesca 25 7 6 12 -11 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 26 7 5 14 -14 -9.0 26
21 Zaragoza 26 5 9 12 -16 -2.8 24
22 Mirandes 25 5 5 15 -17 -2.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Valladolid
1–0 I. Gonzalez
3′
2–0 R. Alcaraz
P. Aleman
10′
13′
🟨 Clément Michelin
3–0 G. Petit
A. Sola
29′
33′
🟨 Clément Michelin
33′
🟥 Clément Michelin
4–0 M. Lama
J. M. Arnaiz
40′
45′
Peter Federico 4–1
Half-time 4–2
4–2 L. Sanseviero
own goal
53′
54′
🔁 J. Ponceau
↦ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
54′
🔁 I. Garriel
↦ C. Clerc
P. Casadesus 🔁
↦ O. Naasei
60′
J. Pascual 🔁
↦ G. Petit
60′
65′
🔁 S. Canos
↦ L. Sanseviero
65′
🔁 Marcos Andre
↦ Peter Federico
Álex Sola 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Ramón Martínez
M. Trigueros 🔁
↦ R. Alcaraz
76′
S. Rodelas 🔁
↦ J. M. Arnaiz
76′
B. Diaby 🔁
↦ M. Lama
84′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
1 L. Zidane G
28 O. Naasei D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
4 R. Alcaraz M
41 I. Gonzalez M
7 A. Sola F
9 G. Petit F
11 J. M. Arnaiz F
Bench (12)
13 A. Astralaga
2 P. Casadesus
3 D. Hormigo
10 M. Bouldini
14 M. Trigueros
17 B. Diaby
18 A. Lemos
19 J. Pascual
21 P. Saenz
23 L. Gagnidze
26 S. Rodelas
40 B. Diocou

Coach: Pacheta

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
2 C. Michelin D
5 R. Martinez D
4 D. Torres D
18 C. Clerc D
24 S. Juric M
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas M
19 L. Sanseviero M
20 Chuki M
22 Peter Federico M
9 J. Latasa F
Bench (12)
1 A. Aceves
7 S. Canos
10 Marcos Andre
12 I. Alani
15 P. Tomeo
16 M. Maroto
17 S. Biuk
21 J. Ponceau
23 M. Jaouab
25 V. Erlien
27 I. Garriel
30 H. Modesto

Coach: Fran Escriba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,10
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Bestard Servera · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.