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Superligaen
Referee: Lasse Laebel Graagaard
Horsens
T U T S T
0–2
Full-time
Midtjylland
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
28%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 10. · Midtjylland 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 25 15 3 7 +24 48
2 Nordsjaelland 25 13 8 4 +18 47
3 Viborg 25 11 7 7 +8 40
4 Aarhus 25 11 6 8 +6 39
5 Randers FC 25 9 10 6 -1 37
6 Midtjylland 25 8 11 6 +6 35
7 Odense 25 9 7 9 -10 34
8 Brondby 25 9 6 10 -5 33
9 Silkeborg 26 8 7 11 -4 31
10 Horsens 25 7 5 13 -15 26
11 Aalborg 26 4 8 14 -12 20
12 Lyngby 25 4 8 13 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Midtjylland
9′
J. Gomez 1–0
own goal
David Kruse 🟨
27′
Magnus Jensen 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 A. Şimşir
↦ A. Gigović
67′
🔁 Charles
↦ Júnior Brumado
69′
G. Isaksen 1–1
K. Olsson
A. Sigurðarson 🔁
↦ M. Lassen
73′
74′
🟨 Charles
L. Musonda 🔁
↦ J. Gemmer
75′
75′
🔁 M. Thychosen
↦ Paulinho
75′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ G. Isaksen
S. Iyede 🔁
↦ A. Jacobsen
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Horsens

3-4-3
1 M. Delač G
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
3 M. Jensen D
18 T. Santos M
14 J. Gemmer M
23 D. Kruse M
17 M. Lassen M
6 M. Opondo F
9 A. Jacobsen F
27 E. Just F
Bench (9)
11 A. Sigurðarson
24 L. Musonda
26 S. Iyede
28 A. Saine
8 J. Drachmann
16 S. Brolin
33 A. Ludwig
29 J. Beluli
19 M. Hannesbo

Coach: J. Askou

Midtjylland

4-3-1-2
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
29 Paulinho D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
37 A. Gigović M
8 K. Olsson M
11 G. Isaksen F
74 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
58 A. Şimşir
35 Charles
17 M. Thychosen
18 E. Chilufya
30 M. Ugboh
10 Emam Ashour
47 F. Heiselberg
20 V. Byskov
55 V. Bak

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.