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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Nordsjaelland

S T S T T

0–1

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

43%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

65%

52%

Both score Ø 72%

74%

70%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,30

62% Possession 38%

5 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · FC Copenhagen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	24	14	3	7	+12	+4.9	45
2	FC Copenhagen	23	12	8	3	+15	+13.0	44
3	Aarhus	23	10	9	4	+21	+9.8	39
4	Randers FC	24	10	8	6	+11	+9.0	38
5	Brondby	23	9	9	5	+12	+6.7	36
6	Silkeborg	24	9	9	6	+9	+4.2	36
7	Nordsjaelland	23	10	5	8	+1	+7.1	35
8	Viborg	24	9	7	8	+4	-6.8	34
9	Aalborg	24	5	7	12	-22	-18.8	22
10	Sonderjyske	24	5	5	14	-25	-15.2	20
11	Lyngby	24	3	9	12	-13	-5.0	18
12	Vejle	24	4	5	15	-25	-9.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	4	0	+12	+9.8	28
3	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+18	+8.2	26
4	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
5	Viborg	12	7	2	3	+4	-4.3	23
6	Randers FC	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.8	21
7	Brondby	11	5	5	1	+8	+4.4	20
8	Silkeborg	12	5	4	3	+3	+1.0	19
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
10	Aalborg	12	3	3	6	-13	-9.6	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	12	2	4	6	-10	-1.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	12	4	5	3	+6	+3.2	17
2	Randers FC	12	4	5	3	+3	+2.2	17
3	Brondby	12	4	4	4	+4	+2.3	16
4	FC Copenhagen	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.2	16
5	Midtjylland	12	4	3	5	+3	+0.7	15
6	Aarhus	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.7	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Aalborg	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.2	10
9	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
10	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	-12	-6.8	8
11	Lyngby	12	1	4	7	-7	-5.0	7
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.