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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Nordsjaelland

S S U U T

2–1

Full-time

Viborg

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 77%

77%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,66 xG 0,52

65% Possession 35%

22 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Viborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	8	3	2	+10	+5.9	27
2	FC Copenhagen	13	7	4	2	+10	+9.8	25
3	Randers FC	14	6	6	2	+10	+4.6	24
4	Aarhus	13	6	5	2	+13	+1.0	23
5	Silkeborg	13	5	6	2	+6	-0.8	21
6	Brondby	13	5	4	4	+4	+6.4	19
7	Nordsjaelland	13	5	4	4	+1	+3.1	19
8	Viborg	13	4	5	4	+3	-1.5	17
9	Aalborg	13	4	2	7	-12	-8.3	14
10	Sonderjyske	14	3	2	9	-18	-11.7	11
11	Lyngby	13	1	6	6	-8	-2.7	9
12	Vejle	13	1	1	11	-19	-5.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	6	6	0	0	+10	+5.8	18
2	Aarhus	7	4	3	0	+11	+1.4	15
3	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+7	+5.8	14
4	Nordsjaelland	7	3	4	0	+7	+2.8	13
5	Silkeborg	7	3	3	1	+3	+0.1	12
6	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+4	+2.5	11
7	Brondby	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
8	Viborg	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.8	11
9	Aalborg	6	3	0	3	-5	-2.9	9
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.7	6
12	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	7	3	4	0	+6	+2.1	13
2	FC Copenhagen	7	3	2	2	+3	+4.0	11
3	Silkeborg	6	2	3	1	+3	-0.9	9
4	Midtjylland	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.2	9
5	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.4	8
6	Brondby	7	2	2	3	+0	+3.7	8
7	Viborg	7	1	3	3	+0	+0.3	6
8	Nordsjaelland	6	2	0	4	-6	+0.3	6
9	Aalborg	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.4	5
10	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	-4	-2.1	3
11	Sonderjyske	7	1	0	6	-12	-6.1	3
12	Vejle	6	0	0	6	-11	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.