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Allsvenskan
Referee: K Sjöberg
AIK
S S U T U
2–2
Full-time
Varnamo
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
53%
24%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
25 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 4. · Varnamo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 17 10 5 2 +17 35
2 Djurgarden 17 10 4 3 +24 34
3 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +21 33
4 AIK 17 9 4 4 +4 31
5 Goteborg 17 9 3 5 +9 30
6 Malmo FF 17 9 3 5 +8 30
7 Kalmar 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Mjallby 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Sirius 18 7 4 7 -5 25
10 Elfsborg 17 5 7 5 +7 22
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -3 19
12 Varberg 17 5 3 9 -16 18
13 Varnamo 17 4 5 8 -10 17
14 Helsingborg 18 2 5 11 -16 11
15 Degerfors 17 3 2 12 -21 11
16 Sundsvall 17 3 1 13 -27 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -22 Varnamo – AIK 2–3

Match report

AIK Varnamo
22′
🔁 Netinho
↦ V. Larsson
28′
M. Antonsson 0–1
A. Zeljkovic
1–1 Y. Ayari
A. Ahmed Fatah
44′
Half-time 1–1
M. Lustig 🔁
↦ A. Milošević
46′
S. Papagiannopoulos 🔁
↦ C. Shichenje
57′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ A. Ahmed Fatah
57′
63′
M. Antonsson 1–2
Netinho
67′
🔁 Bernardo Vilar
↦ H. Näsström
67′
🔁 W. Kenndal
↦ A. Magashy
67′
🔁 C. Vindehall
↦ A. Zeljkovic
E. Ring 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
69′
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
75′
2–2 M. Lustig
E. Ring
78′
Vincent Thill 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 William Kenndal
88′
🔁 M. Simba
↦ Wenderson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
5 A. Milošević D
25 E. Otieno D
29 C. Shichenje D
2 J. Mendes D
7 S. Larsson M
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka F
8 B. Hussein M
26 Y. Ayari M
18 A. Ahmed Fatah F
17 V. Thill M
Bench (7)
33 M. Lustig
4 S. Papagiannopoulos
11 J. Guidetti
34 E. Ring
10 N. Bahoui
23 B. Janošević
12 A. Björnström

Coach: B. Grzelak

Varnamo

4-3-3
30 P. Vaitsiakhovich G
20 F. Winsth D
6 H. Näsström M
25 V. Eriksson D
5 V. Larsson D
3 R. Tihi D
9 O. Johansson F
21 A. Magashy M
18 Wenderson M
14 M. Antonsson F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
Bench (7)
4 Netinho
33 Bernardo Vilar
8 W. Kenndal
7 C. Vindehall
24 M. Simba
32 D. Edvardsson
1 J. Rasheed

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sjöberg · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.