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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Granada

T T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

43%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

57%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

3 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Granada 18. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+12	17
2	Ath Madrid	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Sevilla	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Osasuna	8	4	2	2	+0	14
6	Vallecano	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Ath Bilbao	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Valencia	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Betis	8	3	3	2	+2	12
11	Villarreal	7	2	5	0	+5	11
12	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	-5	11
13	Espanol	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Elche	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Celta	8	2	1	5	-4	7
16	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	-4	7
17	Levante	8	0	4	4	-7	4
18	Granada	7	0	3	4	-7	3
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-10	3
20	Getafe	8	0	1	7	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Sociedad	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+8	7
8	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
9	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Elche	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Betis	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Celta	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Cadiz	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Betis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Villarreal	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Cadiz	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Celta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Elche	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Barcelona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Levante	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Getafe	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.