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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Ajax

S S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

4,2

2,2

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

86%

57%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 29%

14%

43%

Average goals

4,4

3,1

Scored

4,3

2,4

Conceded

0,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+4,1

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

20 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Utrecht 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+29	19
2	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+2	16
3	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Utrecht	7	4	2	1	+12	14
6	Twente	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Heerenveen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-3	12
9	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-5	11
10	Heracles	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	-8	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	1	5	-9	7
13	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-3	6
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-9	5
17	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+22	12
2	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Cambuur	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Willem II	4	3	0	1	-1	9
7	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	For Sittard	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
8	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
9	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Cambuur	3	1	0	2	-8	3
12	Waalwijk	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.