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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

St Etienne

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Lyon

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 20. · Lyon 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	0	1	+13	24
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Angers	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Lorient	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Lille	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Nantes	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Strasbourg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Montpellier	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-8	10
16	Bordeaux	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Troyes	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Metz	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Brest	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	St Etienne	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Lyon	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
8	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Monaco	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Lille	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
10	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-8	5
11	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.